Please help me out with this assignment, case study 3. You can use the articles and graphs on “case study 3“ file to finish this assignment. Thanks.
Part 1: Vector Capacity (3 points) d. Simulating conditions for the year 2050, the model predicts a vector capacity of ___________. (1 pt) e. If our model took mosquito and dengue thermal limits into account, how do you think graph "1a) Vector Capacity by Temperature" would look if we predicted VC for even greater temperatures? (2 pts) Part 2: Modeling an outbr eak (9 points) a. For the simple outbreak scenario (death rate = 0.0001), what proportion of the 1000 people in the town get the disease over the course of the year? This includes those who remain infectious at day 365 as well as those who have recovered. ____________ (1 pt) b. Is the outbreak still going on at the end of the year? ( Yes / No ) (1 pt) c. As multiple serotypes of dengue are introduced into the population, the death rate of subsequent epidemics increases. How does this af fect the number of individuals who die over the course of an outbreak? (1pt) i. Linear increase ii. Linear decrease iii. No change iv . Increases to a threshold then declines d. At what death rate do the maximum number of deaths occur? ____________ (1 pt) HINT : Use your data points rather than the trendline to answer this question. e. How do you explain the result described in question (c & d)? HINT : Think about how dengue spreads through a population (4 pts) Your answer should be 150 – 200 words.f. At the maximum death rate used (i.e. all possible serotypes are present in the region) is the outbreak still going on at the end of the year? ( Yes / No ) (1 pt) Part 3: Pr eventing epidemics (8 points) a. Describe your two alternative strategies for preventing or mitigating dengue outbreaks and how you incorporated them in the model. Use reference to the readings where appropriate. NOTE : Slowing or stopping climate change is not an option for this response. Be sure and justify your use of the vector capacity or outbreak modeling approach. Your answer should be 250 – 300 words. (4 pts) b. Which strategy will be the most ef fective and why? Which strategy will be the most useful in future climate scenarios? Be sure and use your graphs to explain your answer as well as the background readings. Your answer should be 250 – 300 words. (4 points)
