| Premise 1: The Golden State Warriors are up 3 games to 1 against the Cleveland Cavaliers in the back half of the NBA Finals. Premise 2: No team has ever won the NBA Championship after having trailed 3 games to 1 in the NBA Finals series. Conclusion: Therefore, the Golden State Warriors will win the NBA Finals. This is a strong inductive argument that makes use of a statistic (no team has ever overcome a 3 game to 1 comeback in the NBA Finals). However, I wondered if Premise 2 was actually weaker than it first appeared, in large part because of its specificity (only NBA Finals Games) After all, it seemed likely that there have been larger comebacks in non-finals games. Premise 1: The Golden State Warriors are up 3 games to 1 against the Cleveland Cavaliers in the back half of the NBA Finals. Premise 2: No team has ever won the NBA Championship after having trailed 3 games to 1 in the NBA Finals series. Premise 3: 10 Teams have overcome a 3 game to 1 deficit during the playoffs to include the Golden State Warriors in the previous round of the same playoff season. Conclusion: Therefore, the Golden State Warriors will win the NBA Finals. Premise 3 mentions the fact that teams have overcome this deficits before. For example, in 2016 the Golden State Warriors overcame a 3 game to 1 deficit to win against the Oklahoma City Thunder in the previous round of the playoffs (Teams Who Have Rallied To Win Series After Falling Behind 3-1, 2017). Premise 1: The Golden State Warriors are up 3 games to 1 against the Cleveland Cavaliers in the back half of the NBA Finals. Premise 2: No team has ever won the NBA Championship after having trailed 3 games to 1 in the NBA Finals series. Premise 3: 10 Teams have overcome a 3 game to 1 deficit during the playoffs to include the Golden State Warriors in the previous round of the same playoff season. Premise 4: The Golden State Warriors have applied enough pressure to the Cleveland Cavaliers to force a virtually impossible scenario. Conclusion: Therefore, the Golden State Warriors will win the NBA Finals. The argument is strengthened again by showing that the game plan the Warriors used was working up until the 5th game of the series. Here is the final form of our argument: Premise 1: The Golden State Warriors are up 3 games to 1 against the Cleveland Cavaliers in the back half of the NBA Finals. Premise 2: No team has ever won the NBA Championship after having trailed 3 games to 1 in the NBA Finals series. Premise 3: 10 Teams have overcome a 3 game to 1 deficit during the playoffs to include the Golden State Warriors in the previous round of the same playoff season. Premise 4: The Golden State Warriors have applied enough pressure to the Cleveland Cavaliers to force a virtually impossible scenario. Premise 5: The Golden State Warriors defeated the Cleveland Cavaliers twice during their regular season matches. Conclusion: Therefore, the Golden State Warriors will win the NBA Finals. References Teams Who Have Rallied To Win Series After Falling Behind 3-1. (2017, March 8). Retrieved from http://www.nba.com/2016/news/05/25/teams-to-overcome-3-1-series-deficits-in-playoffs-boston-celtics-los-angeles-lakers-washington-wizards-houston-rockets-miami-heat-detroit-pistons-phoenix-suns/ | 
