Business Policy and Strategy Questions

8 Implementing Strategies: Marketing, Finance/Accounting, R&D, and MIS Issues

CHAPTER OBJECTIVES

After studying this chapter, you should be able to do the following:

  • 1. Develop effective perceptual maps to position rival firms.

  • 2. Develop effective perceptual maps to identify market segments and demand voids.

  • 3. Determine the cash worth of any business.

  • 4. Explain market segmentation and product positioning as strategy-implementation tools.

  • 5. Discuss procedures for determining the worth of a business.

  • 6. Develop projected financial statements to reveal the impact of strategy recommendations.

  • 7. Perform EPS-EBIT analysis to evaluate the attractiveness of debt versus stock as a source of capital to implement strategies.

  • 8. Discuss the nature and role of research and development in strategy implementation.

  • 9. Explain how management information systems can determine the success of strategy-implementation efforts.

  • 10. Explain business analytics and data mining.

ASSURANCE OF LEARNING EXERCISES

The following exercises are found at the end of this chapter.

  • EXERCISE 8A Develop Product Positioning Maps for PepsiCo

  • EXERCISE 8B Gain Practice Developing Perceptual Maps

  • EXERCISE 8C Perform an EPS/EBIT Analysis for PepsiCo

  • EXERCISE 8D Prepare Projected Financial Statements for PepsiCo

  • EXERCISE 8E Determine the Cash Value of PepsiCo

  • EXERCISE 8F Develop a Product-Positioning Map for Your University

  • EXERCISE 8G Do Banks Require Projected Financial Statements?

Strategies have no chance of being implemented successfully in organizations that do not market goods and services well, in firms that cannot raise needed working capital, in firms that produce technologically inferior products, or in firms that have a weak information system. This chapter examines marketing, finance and accounting, research and development (R&D), and management information systems (MIS) issues that are central to effective strategy implementation. Special topics include market segmentation, market positioning, evaluating the worth of a business, determining to what extent debt or stock should be used as a source of capital, developing projected financial statements, contracting R&D outside the firm, and creating an information support system. Manager and employee involvement and participation are essential for success in marketing, finance and accounting, R&D, and MIS activities.

The Nature of Strategy Implementation

The quarterback can call the best play possible in the huddle, but that does not mean the play will go for a touchdown. The team may even lose yardage unless the play is executed (implemented) well. Less than 10 percent of strategies formulated are successfully implemented! There are many reasons for this low success rate, including failing to appropriately segment markets, paying too much for a new acquisition, and falling behind competitors in R&D. Panera Bread implements strategies especially well.

Strategy implementation directly affects the lives of plant managers, division managers, department managers, sales managers, product managers, project managers, personnel managers, staff managers, supervisors, and all employees. In some situations, individuals may not have participated in the strategy-formulation process at all and may not appreciate, understand, or even accept the work and thought that went into strategy formulation. There may even be foot dragging or resistance on their part. Managers and employees who do not understand the business and are not committed to the business may attempt to sabotage strategy-implementation efforts in hopes that the organization will return to its old ways. The strategy-implementation stage of the strategic-management process is highlighted in Figure 8-1 as illustrated with white shading.

Panera Bread Co.: EXCELLENT STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT SHOWCASED

Have you ever eaten at Panera Bread, a leader in the quick-casual restaurant business with 1,591 bakery-cafes in 40 states and Canada? Under the names Panera Bread, Saint Louis Bread Co., and Paradise Bakery & Café, Panera offers made-to-order sandwiches using a variety of artisan breads, including Asiago cheese bread, focaccia, and its classic sourdough bread. Panera’s menu also features soups, salads, and gourmet coffees, as well as bread, bagels, and pastries to go. More than 660 of its locations are company-operated, whereas the rest are run by franchisees.

Panera Bread recently announced a new three-year share repurchase program to buy back up to $600 million worth of its own common stock (called treasury stock on balance sheets). The stock buyback aims to reduce the number of shares outstanding from 30 million and is expected to reinforce shareholders’ confidence and boost the market value of the outstanding shares.

Panera remains well positioned to increase store sales and accelerate unit growth in the long run with the introduction of a new menu to compete more effectively with the likes of Chipotle Mexican Grill, Einstein Noah Restaurant Group, and Atlanta Bread Company. Based in Richmond Heights, Missouri, and founded in 1981, Panera Bread has 776 company owned bakery-cafes and the rest are franchised.

In July 2012, Panera Bread reported strong quarterly results with earnings of $1.50 per share and revenue increases of 18 percent year-over-year to $530.6 million. Panera’s comparable net bakery-cafe sales expanded 5.9 percent. The company-owned comparable net bakery-cafe sales increased 7.1 percent whereas franchise-operated comparable net bakery-cafe sales grew 4.8 percent. Panera reported a 27 percent rise in earnings and an 18 percent sales increase in that quarter.

Source: A variety of sources.

FIGURE 8-1 A Comprehensive Strategic-Management Model

Source: Fred R. David, “How Companies Define Their Mission,” Long Range Planning 22, no. 3 (June 1988): 40.

Current Marketing Issues

Countless marketing variables affect the success or failure of strategy implementation efforts. Some example marketing decisions that may require policies are as follows:

  • 1. How to make advertisements more interactive to be more effective

  • 2. How to best take advantage of Facebook and Twitter conservations about the company and industry

  • 3. To use exclusive dealerships or multiple channels of distribution

  • 4. To use heavy, light, or no TV advertising versus online advertising

  • 5. To limit (or not) the share of business done with a single customer

  • 6. To be a price leader or a price follower

  • 7. To offer a complete or limited warranty

  • 8. To reward salespeople based on straight salary, straight commission, or a combination salary and commission

Marketing is more about building a two-way relationship with consumers than just informing consumers about a product or service. Marketers today must get their customers involved in their company website and solicit suggestions from customers in terms of product development, customer service, and ideas. The online community is much quicker, cheaper, and effective than traditional focus groups and surveys.

Companies and organizations should encourage their employees to create wikis—websites that allow users to add, delete, and edit content regarding frequently asked questions and information across the firm’s whole value chain of activities. The most common wiki is Wikipedia, but wikis are user-generated content. Anyone can change the content in a wiki but the group and other editors can change the content submitted.

Firms should provide incentives to customers to share their thoughts, opinions, and experiences on the company website. Encourage customers to network among themselves on topics of their choosing on the company website. So the company website must not be all about the company—it must be all about the customer too. Perhaps offer points or discounts for customers who provide ideas and suggestions. This practice will not only encourage participation but will allow both the company and other customers to interact with “experts.”

New Principles of Marketing

A business or organization’s website must provide clear and simple instructions for customers to set up a blog or contribute to a wiki. Customers trust each others’ opinions more than a company’s marketing pitch, and the more they talk freely, the more the firm can learn how to improve its product, service, and marketing. Marketers today monitor blogs daily to determine, evaluate, and influence opinions being formed by customers. Customers must not feel like they are a captive audience for advertising at a firm’s website. Table 8-1 provides new principles of marketing according to Parise, Guinan, and Weinberg.1

Wells Fargo and Bank of America tweet customers, meaning they post messages of 140 characters or less on Twitter.com to describe features of bank products. Some banks are placing marketing videos on YouTube. UMB Financial of Kansas City, Missouri, tweets about everything from the bank’s financial stability to the industry’s prospects. Steve Furman, Discover’s director of e-commerce, says the appeal of social networking is that it provides “pure, instant” communication with customers.2

PepsiCo recently established a “Mission Control” staffed with social marketing employees promoting the company’s long-time product Gatorade, which had been on a three-year sales slide. PepsiCo staffs Mission Control 24/7 to tweet encouragement to high-school athletes and respond to Facebook questions.3 Whenever anybody uses Twitter or Facebook to comment on Gatorade, that message pops up on a screen in Mission Control and a PepsiCo employee joins that person’s social circle. PepsiCo is a leading company that tracks social media, tracks online-ad traffic, heads off potential crises, builds support for products, and monitors consumer behavior in depth. Gatorade is under intense pressure from Coca-Cola’s Powerade, whose sales are increasing in contrast to Gatorade’s sales decreasing.

TABLE 8-1 The New Principles of Marketing

  • 1. Do not just talk at consumers—work with them throughout the marketing process.

  • 2. Give consumers a reason to participate.

  • 3. Listen to—and join—the conversation outside your company’s website.

  • 4. Resist the temptation to sell, sell, sell. Instead attract, attract, attract.

  • 5. Do not control online conversations; let it flow freely.

  • 6. Find a “marketing technologist,” a person who has three excellent skill sets (marketing, technology, and social interaction).

  • 7. Embrace instant messaging and chatting.

Source: Based on Salvatore Parise, Patricia Guinan, and Bruce Weinberg, “The Secrets of Marketing in a Web 2.0 World,” Wall Street Journal, December 15, 2008, R1.

Although the exponential increase in social networking and business online has created huge opportunities for marketers, it also has produced some severe threats. Perhaps the greatest threat is that any kind of negative publicity travels fast online. For example, Taco Bell suffered from its ads that featured asking 50 Cent (aka Curtis Jackson) if he would change his name to 79 Cent or 89 Cent for a day in exchange for a $10,000 donation to charity. Seemingly minor ethical and questionable actions can catapult these days into huge public relations problems for companies as a result of the monumental online social and business communications.

In increasing numbers, people living in underdeveloped and poor nations around the world have smartphones but no computers. This is opening up even larger markets to online marketing. People in remote parts of Indonesia, Egypt, and Africa represent the fastest-growing customer base for Opera Software ASA, a Norwegian maker of Internet browsers for mobile devices. Cell phones are widely used now for data transfer, not just for phone calls.4

People ages 18 to 27 spend more time weekly on the Internet than watching television, listening to the radio, or watching DVDs or VHS tapes. Companies are rapidly coming to the realization that social networking sites and video sites are better means of reaching their customers than spending so many marketing dollars on traditional yellow pages or television, magazine, radio, or newspaper ads.

New companies such as Autonet Mobile based in San Francisco are selling new technology equipment for cars so that everyone in the vehicle can be online except, of course, the driver. This technology is accelerating the movement from hard media to web-based media. With this technology, when the vehicle drives into a new location, information on shows, museums, hotels, and other attractions in the location can be instantly downloaded.

Internet advertising is growing so rapidly that marketers are more and more allowed to create bigger, more intrusive ads that take up more space on the web page. Websites are allowing lengthier ads to run before short video clips play. And blogs are creating more content that doubles also as an ad. Companies are also waiving minimum ad purchases. Companies are redesigning their websites to be much more interactive and are building new sponsorship programs and other enticements on their sites. Editorial content and advertising content are increasingly being mixed on blogs.

A recent report by BIA/Kelsey reveals that social media ad spending should double in the USA between 2012 and 2016 from $4.8 billion to $9.6+ billion by 2016. BIA/Kelsey says about one-third of that ad spending will be from local advertisers, with their ad spending in the USA growing from $1.2 billion in 2012 to $3.1 billion in 2016.

According to the Interactive Advertising Bureau and Pricewaterhouse Coopers, mobile advertising grew 95 percent in the first half of 2012. The industry as a whole grew to an all-time high of $17 billion in revenues in the first half of 2012, up 14 percent over the prior year. Another marketing sector that grew rapidly in the first half of 2012 was digital video, a component of display advertising. Digital video grew 18 percent in 2012 from the prior year.

Google and Facebook are by far the dominant players in display advertising, together comprising 30 percent of the overall market in 2012. An eMarketer report predicts those two companies alone will sell 37 percent of all display ads by the end of 2014. Google had 15.4 percent of the market in 2012 ($2.31 billion) compared to Facebook’s 14.4 percent ($2.16 billion). Yahoo! once dominated the display ad market but is on the decline with 9.3 percent of the market ($1.39 billion).

Market Segmentation

Two variables are of central importance to strategy implementation: market segmentation and product positioning. Market segmentation and product positioning rank as marketing’s most important contributions to strategic management.

Market segmentation is widely used in implementing strategies, especially for small and specialized firms. Market segmentation can be defined as the subdividing of a market into distinct subsets of customers according to needs and buying habits.

EBay recently initiated a new market segmentation strategy to target consumers under 18 years old. “We’re definitely looking at ways to legitimately bring younger people in,” said Devin Wenig at eBay. “We won’t allow a 15-year-old unfettered access to the site. We would want a parent, an adult as a ride-along.” The under 18-age group are an increasingly savvy and desirable consumer segment for many businesses.

Market segmentation is an important variable in strategy implementation for at least three major reasons. First, strategies such as market development, product development, market penetration, and diversification require increased sales through new markets and products. To implement these strategies successfully, new or improved market-segmentation approaches are required. Second, market segmentation allows a firm to operate with limited resources because mass production, mass distribution, and mass advertising are not required. Market segmentation enables a small firm to compete successfully with a large firm by maximizing per-unit profits and per-segment sales. Finally, market segmentation decisions directly affect marketing mix variables: product, place, promotion, and price, as indicated in Table 8-2.

Perhaps the most dramatic new market-segmentation strategy is the targeting of regional tastes. Firms from Pizza Hut to Honda Motors are increasingly modifying their products to meet different regional preferences of customers around the world. Campbell’s has a spicier version of its nacho cheese soup for the Southwest, and Burger King offers breakfast burritos in New Mexico but not in South Carolina. Geographic and demographic bases for segmenting markets are the most commonly employed, as illustrated in Table 8-3.

Evaluating potential market segments requires strategists to determine the characteristics and needs of consumers, to analyze consumer similarities and differences, and to develop consumer group profiles. Segmenting consumer markets is generally much simpler and easier than segmenting industrial markets, because industrial products, such as electronic circuits and forklifts, have multiple applications and appeal to diverse customer groups.

Segmentation is a key to matching supply and demand, which is one of the thorniest problems in customer service. Segmentation often reveals that large, random fluctuations in demand actually consist of several small, predictable, and manageable patterns. Matching supply and demand allows factories to produce desirable levels without extra shifts, overtime, and subcontracting. Matching supply and demand also minimizes the number and severity of stock-outs. The demand for hotel rooms, for example, can be dependent on foreign tourists, businesspersons, and vacationers. Focusing separately on these three market segments, however, can allow hotel firms to more effectively predict overall supply and demand.

Banks now are segmenting markets to increase effectiveness. “You’re dead in the water if you aren’t segmenting the market,” says Anne Moore, president of a bank consulting firm in Atlanta. The Internet makes market segmentation easier today because consumers naturally form “communities” on the Web.

Retention-Based Segmentation

To aid in more effective and efficient deployment of marketing resources, companies commonly tag each of their active customers with three values:

Tag 1: Is this customer at high risk of canceling the company’s service? One of the most common indicators of high-risk customers is a drop off in usage of the company’s service. For example, in the credit card industry this could be signaled through a customer’s decline in spending on his or her card.

Tag 2: Is this customer worth retaining? This determination boils down to whether the postretention profit generated from the customer is predicted to be greater than the cost incurred to retain the customer. Customers need to be managed as investments.

TABLE 8-2 The Marketing Mix Component Variables

Product

Place

Promotion

Price

Quality

Features and options

Style

Brand name

Packaging

Product line

Warranty

Service level

Other services

Distribution channels

Distribution coverage

Outlet location

Sales territories

Inventory levels and locations

Transportation carriers

Advertising

Personal selling

Sales promotion

Publicity

Level

Discounts and allowances

Payment terms

Source: Based on E. Jerome McCarthy, Basic Marketing: A Managerial Approach, 9th ed. (Homewood, IL: Richard D. Irwin, Inc., 1987), 37–44. Used with permission.

Tag 3: What retention tactics should be used to retain this customer? For customers who are deemed “save-worthy,” it is essential for the company to know which save tactics are most likely to be successful. Tactics commonly used range from providing “special” customer discounts to sending customers communications that reinforce the value proposition of the given service.5

TABLE 8-3 Alternative Bases for Market Segmentation

Variable

Typical Breakdowns

Geographic

 

Region

Pacific, Mountain, West North Central, West South Central, East North Central, East South Central, South Atlantic, Middle Atlantic, New England

County Size

A, B, C, D

City Size

Under 5,000; 5,000–20,000; 20,001–50,000; 50,001–100,000; 100,001–250,000; 250,001–500,000; 500,001–1,000,000; 1,000,001–4,000,000; 4,000,001 or over

Density

Urban, suburban, rural

Climate

Northern, southern

Demographic

 

Age

Under 6, 6–11, 12–19, 20–34, 35–49, 50–64, 65+

Gender

Male, female

Family Size

1–2, 3–4, 5+

Family Life Cycle

Young, single; young, married, no children; young, married, youngest child under 6; young, married, youngest child 6 or over; older, married, with children; older, married, no children under 18; older, single; other

Income

Under $10,000; $10,001–$15,000; $15,001–$20,000; $20,001–$30,000; $30,001–$50,000; $50,001–$70,000; $70,001–$100,000; over $100,000

Occupation

Professional and technical; managers, officials, and proprietors; clerical and sales; craftspeople; foremen; operatives; farmers; retirees; students; housewives; unemployed

Education

Grade school or less; some high school; high school graduate; some college; college graduate

Religion

Catholic, Protestant, Jewish, Islamic, other

Race

White, Asian, Hispanic, African American

Nationality

American, British, French, German, Scandinavian, Italian, Latin American, Middle Eastern, Japanese

Psychographic

 

Social Class

Lower lowers, upper lowers, lower middles, upper middles, lower uppers, upper uppers

Personality

Compulsive, gregarious, authoritarian, ambitious

Behavioral

 

Use Occasion

Regular occasion, special occasion

Benefits Sought

Quality, service, economy

User Status

Nonuser, ex-user, potential user, first-time user, regular user

Usage Rate

Light user, medium user, heavy user

Loyalty Status

None, medium, strong, absolute

Readiness Stage

Unaware, aware, informed, interested, desirous, intending to buy

Attitude Toward Product

Enthusiastic, positive, indifferent, negative, hostile

Source: Adapted from Philip Kotler, Marketing Management: Analysis, Planning and Control, © 1984: 256. Adapted by permission of Prentice-Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, New Jersey.

The basic approach to tagging customers is to use historical retention data to make predictions about active customers regarding:

  • • Whether they are at high risk of canceling their service

  • • Whether they are profitable to retain

  • • What retention tactics are likely to be most effective

The idea with retention-based segmentation is to match up active customers with customers from historic retention data who share similar attributes. Using the theory that “birds of a feather flock together,” the approach is based on the assumption that active customers will have similar retention outcomes as those of their comparable predecessor. This whole process is possible through business analytics or data mining (discussed later in this chapter).

Does the Internet Make Market Segmentation Easier?

Yes. The segments of people whom marketers want to reach online are much more precisely defined than the segments of people reached through traditional forms of media, such as television, radio, and magazines. People all over the world are congregating into virtual communities on the web by becoming members, customers, and visitors of websites that focus on an endless range of topics. People in essence segment themselves by nature of the websites that comprise their “favorite places,” and many of these websites sell information regarding their “visitors.” Businesses and groups of individuals all over the world pool their purchasing power in websites to get volume discounts.

Through its Connect feature, Facebook recently introduced a type of mobile advertising that targets consumers based on the apps they use from their phone. Connect lets users log into millions of websites and apps with their Facebook identity, so the company then targets ads based on that data. Facebook can also track what people do on their apps. Although Apple and Google also track users’ mobile apps, those two firms disclose to users in their privacy policy that they can target ads based on apps the person has downloaded from its App Store and iTunes. Facebook charges advertisers every time an app is installed on a users’ smartphone.6 Privacy advocates contend that Facebook should provide ways for users to opt out of the mobile ad targeting.

Product Positioning/Perceptual Mapping

After markets have been segmented so that the firm can target particular customer groups, the next step is to find out what customers want and expect. This takes analysis and research. A severe mistake is to assume the firm knows what customers want and expect. Countless research studies reveal large differences between how customers define service and rank the importance of different service activities and how producers view services. Many firms have become successful by filling the gap between what customers and producers see as good service. What the customer believes is good service is paramount, not what the producer believes service should be.

Identifying target customers on which to focus marketing efforts sets the stage for deciding how to meet the needs and wants of particular consumer groups. Product positioning is widely used for this purpose. Positioning entails developing schematic representations that reflect how products or services compare to competitors’ on dimensions most important to success in the industry. The following steps are required in product positioning (sometimes called perceptual mapping):

  • 1. Select key criteria that effectively differentiate products or services in the industry.

  • 2. Diagram a two-dimensional product-positioning map with specified criteria on each axis.

  • 3. Plot major competitors’ products or services in the resultant four-quadrant matrix.

  • 4. Identify areas in the positioning map where the company’s products or services could be most competitive in the given target market. Look for vacant areas (niches).

  • 5. Develop a marketing plan to position the company’s products or services appropriately.

Because just two criteria can be examined on a single product-positioning (perceptual) map, multiple maps are often developed to assess various approaches to strategy implementation. Multidimensional scaling could be used to examine three or more criteria simultaneously, but this technique requires computer assistance and is beyond the scope of this text.

Some rules for using product positioning as a strategy-implementation tool are the following:

  • 1. Look for the hole or vacant niche. The best strategic opportunity might be an unserved segment.

  • 2. Do not serve two segments with the same strategy. Usually, a strategy successful with one segment cannot be directly transferred to another segment.

  • 3. Do not position yourself in the middle of the map. The middle usually means a strategy that is not clearly perceived to have any distinguishing characteristics. This rule can vary with the number of competitors. For example, when there are only two competitors, as in U.S. presidential elections, the middle becomes the preferred strategic position.7

An effective product-positioning strategy meets two criteria: (1) it uniquely distinguishes a company from the competition, and (2) it leads customers to expect slightly less service than a company can deliver. Network Equipment Technology is an example of a company that keeps customer expectations slightly below perceived performance. This is a constant challenge for marketers. Firms need to inform customers about what to expect and then exceed the promise. Underpromise and then overdeliver is the key!

The product positioning map, or perceptual map, in Figure 8-2, shows consumer perceptions of various automobiles on the two dimensions of sportiness and conservative and classy and affordable. This sample of consumers felt Porsche was the sportiest and classiest of the cars in the study (top right corner). They felt Plymouth was most practical and conservative (bottom left corner). Car manufacturers could focus their marketing efforts on various target groups, or even redesign features in their vehicles, based on research and survey information illustrated in perceptual maps. Perceptual maps can aid marketers in being more effective in spending money to promote products. Products, brands, or companies positioned close to one another are perceived as similar on the relevant dimensions. For example, in Figure 8-2, consumers see Buick, Chrysler, and Oldsmobile as similar. They are close competitors and form a competitive grouping. A company considering the introduction of a new or improved model may look for a vacant niche on a perceptual map. Some perceptual maps use different size circles to indicate the sales volume or market share of the various competing products.

Perceptual maps may also display consumers’ ideal points. These points reflect ideal combinations of the two dimensions as seen by a consumer. Figure 8-3 reveals the results of a study of consumers’ ideal points in the alcohol and spirits product space. Each dot represents one respondent’s ideal combination of the two dimensions. Areas where there is a cluster of ideal points (such as A) indicates a market segment. Areas without ideal points are sometimes referred to as demand voids. A company considering introducing a new product will look for areas with a high density of ideal points. They will also look for areas without competitive rivals (a vacant niche), perhaps best done by placing both the (1) ideal points and (2) competing products on the same map.

FIGURE 8-2 A Perceptual Map for the Automobile Industry

Source: Based on info at http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Perceptual_mapping.

FIGURE 8-3 A Perceptual Map for the Alcohol and Spirits Industry

Source: Based on info at http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Perceptual_mapping.

Finance and accounting issues

In terms of “Financial Soundness,” Fortune recently ranked the following companies as best in the world:

Rank

Company

Apple

McDonald’s

Exxon Mobil

Philip Morris International

Intel

Google

GDF Suez

Procter & Gamble

Walmart Stores

10

Altria Group

Source: Based on http://money.cnn.com/magazines/fortune/mostadmired/2012/best_worst/best6.html.

Several finance and accounting concepts central to strategy implementation are acquiring needed capital, developing projected financial statements, preparing financial budgets, and evaluating the worth of a business. Some examples of decisions that may require finance and accounting policies are these:

  • 1. To raise capital with short-term debt, long-term debt, preferred stock, or common stock

  • 2. To lease or buy fixed assets

  • 3. To determine an appropriate dividend payout ratio

  • 4. To use last-in, first-out (LIFO), first-in, first-out (FIFO), or a market-value accounting approach

  • 5. To extend the time of accounts receivable

  • 6. To establish a certain percentage discount on accounts within a specified period of time

  • 7. To determine the amount of cash that should be kept on hand

Acquiring Capital to Implement Strategies

When students complete their recommendations page as part of a case analysis, or in actual company practice when a firm decides what strategies to pursue, it is necessary to address the questions: 1) Should the company obtain needed capital via stock or debt? 2) What would the firm’s expected/projected EBIT values be given our recommendations?

Successful strategy implementation often requires additional capital. Besides net profit from operations and the sale of assets, two basic sources of capital for an organization are debt and equity. Determining an appropriate mix of debt and equity in a firm’s capital structure can be vital to successful strategy implementation. An earnings per share/earnings before interest and taxes (EPS/EBIT) analysis is the most widely used technique for determining whether debt, stock, or a combination of debt and stock is the best alternative for raising capital to implement strategies. This technique involves an examination of the impact that debt versus stock financing has on earnings per share under various expectations for EBIT given specific recommendations (strategies to be implemented).

Theoretically, an enterprise should have enough debt in its capital structure to boost its return on investment by applying debt to products and projects earning more than the cost of the debt. In low-earning periods, too much debt in the capital structure of an organization can endanger stockholders’ returns and jeopardize company survival. Fixed debt obligations generally must be met, regardless of circumstances. This does not mean that stock issuances are always better than debt for raising capital. When the cost of capital (interest rates) is low, such as in 2012/2013, debt may be better than stock to obtain capital, but the analysis still must be performed because high stock prices usually accompany low interest rates, making stock issuances attractive for obtaining capital. Some special concerns with stock issuances are dilution of ownership, effect on stock price, and the need to share future earnings with all new shareholders. Facebook’s initial public offering in early 2012 was for $38 per share, but several months later the stock was selling for $21, so it is no guarantee even with an IPO that a firm’s stock price will rise.

Another popular way for a company to raise capital is to issue corporate bonds, which is analogous to going to the bank and borrowing money, except that with bonds the company obtains the funds from investors rather than banks. Through the first seven months of 2012, companies sold almost $584 billion of bonds in the USA, according to Dealogic, up 6.5 percent from the same period in 2011.8 For example, Bristol-Myers Squibb, a company with single-A investment credit ratings, sold $2 billion of bonds that paid 3.35 percent interest. Many foreign companies also issue bonds in the USA as a way to raise capital. Especially when a company’s balance sheet is strong and its credit rating excellent, issuing bonds can be an effective, and certainly an alternative way to raise needed capital.

Before explaining EPS/EBIT analysis, it is important to know that EPS is earnings per share, which is net income divided by number of shares outstanding. Another term for shares outstanding is shares issued. Also know that EBIT is earnings before interest and taxes. Another name for EBIT is operating income. EBT is earnings before tax. EAT is earnings after tax

The purpose of EPS/EBIT analysis is to determine whether all debt, or all stock, or some combination of debt and stock yields the highest EPS values for the firm. EPS is perhaps the best measure of success of a company, so it is widely used in making the capital acquisition decision. EPS reflects the common “maximizing shareholders’ wealth” overarching corporate objective. By chance if profit maximization is the company’s goal, then in performing an EPS/EBIT analysis, you may focus more on the EAT row more than the EPS row. Large companies may have millions of shares outstanding, so even small differences in EPS across different financing options can equate to large sums of money saved by using that highest EPS value alternative. Any number of combination debt/stock (D/S) scenarios, such as 70/30 D/S or 30/70 D/S, may be examined in an EPS/EBIT analysis.

EPS/EBIT analysis may best be explained by working through an example for the XYZ Company, as provided in Table 8-4. Note that 100 percent stock is the best financing alternative as indicated by the EPS values of 0.0279 and 0.056. An EPS/EBIT chart can be constructed to determine the break-even point, where one financing alternative becomes more attractive than another. Figure 8-4 reveals that issuing common stock is the best financing alternative for the XYZ Company. As noted in Figure 8-4, the top row (EBIT) on the x-axis is graphed with the bottom row (EPS) on the y-axis, and the highest plotted line reveals the best method. Sometimes the plotted lines will interact, so a graph is especially helpful in making the capital acquisition decision, rather than solely relying on a table of numbers.

TABLE 8-4 EPS/EBIT Analysis for the XYZ Company

Input Data

The Number

How Determined

$Amount of Capital Needed

$100 million

Estimated $cost of recommendations

EBIT Range

$20 to $40 million

Estimate based on prior year EBIT and recommendations for the coming year(s)

Interest Rate

5 percent

Estimate based on cost of capital

Tax Rate

30 percent

Use prior year %: taxes divided by income before taxes, as given on income statement

Stock Price

$50

Use most recent stock price

#Shares Outstanding

500 million

For the debt columns, enter the existing #shares outstanding. For stock columns, use the existing #shares outstanding + the #new shares that must be issued to raise the needed capital, i.e., based on stock price. So divide the stock price into the $amount of capital needed.

 

100% Debt

100% Stock

50/50 Debt/Stock Combo

$ EBIT

20,000,000

40,000,000

20,000,000

40,000,000

20,000,000

40,000,000

$ Interest

5,000,000

5,000,000

2,500,000

2,500,000

$ EBT

15,000,000

35,000,000

20,000,000

40,000,000

17,500,000

37,500,000

$ Taxes

4,500,000

10,500,000

6,000,000

12,000,000

5,250,000

11,250,000

$ EAT

10,500,000

24,500,000

14,000,000

28,000,000

12,250,000

26,250,000

# Shares

500,000,000

500,000,000

502,000,000

502,000,000

501,000,000

501,000,000

$ EPS

0.0210

0.049

0.0279

0.056

0.0245

0.0523

Conclusion—the best financing alternative is 100% stock because the EPS values are largest; the worst financing alternative is 100% debt because the EPS values are lowest.

It is important to note some limitations of EPS-EBIT analysis. First, flexibility is a limitation. As an organization’s capital structure changes, so does its flexibility for considering future capital needs. Using all debt or all stock to raise capital in the present may impose fixed obligations, restrictive covenants, or other constraints that could severely reduce a firm’s ability to raise additional capital in the future. Second, control is a limitation. When additional stock is issued to finance strategy implementation, ownership and control of the enterprise are diluted. This can be a serious concern in today’s business environment of hostile takeovers, mergers, and acquisitions. Dilution of ownership could be a problem, and if so, debt could be better than stock regardless of determined EPS values in the analysis. Third, interest rates are a limitation. If rates are expected to rise, as they are doing in 2013/2014, then debt could be better than stock, regardless of the determined EPS values in the analysis. Fourth, if the firm is already too highly leveraged vs. industry average ratios, then stock may be best regardless of determined EPS values in the analysis. A fifth limitation is that the analysis assumes stock price, tax rate, and interest rates to be the same over all economic conditions. A sixth limitation is that the estimated EBIT low and high values are based on the prior year plus the impact of strategies to be implemented. But considering these six potential limitations, unless you have a compelling reason to overturn the highest last row EPS values dictating the EPS-EBIT analysis, then indeed those values should dictate the financing decision, because EPS is arguably the best measure of organizational performance.

IBM declared a third quarter 2012 cash dividend of $0.85 per common share, marking the third consecutive quarterly payout at that rate. IBM also authorized another $5 billion in additional funds to be used for its share repurchase program on top of the $6.7 billion remaining available for buybacks. That was $11.7 billion for its stock repurchase program in total or about 5.3 percent of its outstanding shares. IBM and thousands of other firms lately have significantly increased their share repurchases.

FIGURE 8-4 An EPS/EBIT Chart for the XYZ Company

Lowe’s Companies is aggressively buying its own stock, increasing its Treasury Stock on its balance sheets. Many analysts say stock buybacks reflect optimism among companies and say it is a good sign. However, other analysts argue that buybacks eat cash that a firm could better use to grow the firm. Intel in late 2012 borrowed $6 billion to buy back more of its own stock. The low interest rate environment has spurred this activity. Even though Intel had the cash on its balance sheet to cover the transaction, the firm, like many large U.S. firms, have most of their cash in overseas accounts (that is, a large percentage of their revenues were derived in foreign countries). Many such firms prefer to leave their cash outside the USA because to use those funds to pay dividends or purchase treasury stock, for example, would trigger a big U.S. corporate income tax payment.

When using EPS/EBIT analysis, timing in relation to movements of stock prices, interest rates, and bond prices becomes important. In times of high stock prices, such as in 2013/2014, stock may prove to be the best alternative from both a cost and a demand standpoint. However, when cost of capital (interest rates) is low, debt is more attractive.

The USA has $9.7 trillion in outstanding debt, equal to 63 percent of gross domestic product (GDP). Based on that percentage, S&P lowered the U.S.’s AAA credit rating. It is interesting, however, that 147 of the S&P 500 companies have total debt that is 63 percent or greater than the company’s revenue. For example, GE, Lennar, and Harley-Davidson have debt that is 300, 131, and 116 percent greater than their revenues, respectively. A key difference of course is that companies generate money whereas governments consume money. The U.S. government pays $210 billion in interest annually, about 10 percent of the $2.1 trillion it collects annually in taxes. Only 24 companies in the S&P 500 however incur interest payments that total at least 10 percent of their revenue.

Tables 8-5 and 8-6 provide EPS/EBIT analyses for two companies—Gateway Computers and Boeing. Notice in those analyses that the combination stock/debt options vary from 30/70 to 70/30. Any number of combinations could be explored. However, sometimes in preparing the EPS/EBIT graphs, the lines will intersect, thus revealing break-even points at which one financing alternative becomes more or less attractive than another. The slope of these lines will be determined by a combination of factors including stock price, interest rate, number of shares, and amount of capital needed. Also, it should be noted here that the best financing alternatives are indicated by the highest EPS values. In Tables 8-5 and 8-6, note that the tax rates for the companies vary considerably and should be computed from the respective income statements by dividing taxes paid by income before taxes.

In Table 8-5, the higher EPS values indicate that Gateway should use stock to raise capital in recession or normal economic conditions but should use debt financing under boom conditions. Stock is the best alternative for Gateway under all three conditions if EAT (profit maximization) were the decision criteria, but EPS (maximize shareholders’ wealth) is the better ratio to make this decision. Firms can do many things in the short run to maximize profits, so investors and creditors consider maximizing shareholders’ wealth to be the better criteria for making financing decisions.

In Table 8-6, note that Boeing should use stock to raise capital in recession (see 0.92) or normal (see 2.29) economic conditions but should use debt financing under boom conditions (see 5.07). Let us calculate here the number of shares figure of 1014.68 given under Boeing’s stock alternative. Divide $10,000 M funds needed by the stock price of $53 = 188.68 M new shares to be issued + the 826 M shares outstanding already = 1014.68 M shares under the stock scenario. Along the final row, EPS is the number of shares outstanding divided by EAT in all columns.

TABLE 8-5 EPS/EBIT Analysis for Gateway (M = in millions)

Amount Needed: $1,000 M

EBIT Range: −$500 M to + $100 M to + $500 M

Interest Rate: 5%

Tax Rate: 0% (because the firm has been incurring a loss annually)

Stock Price: $6.00

# of Shares Outstanding: 371 M

 

Common Stock Financing

Debt Financing

 

Recession

Normal

Boom

Recession

Normal

Boom

EBIT

(500.00)

100.00

500.00

(500.00)

100.00

500.00

Interest

0.00

0.00

0.00

50.00

50.00

50.00

EBT

(500.00)

100.00

500.00

(550.00)

50.00

450.00

Taxes

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

EAT

(500.00)

100.00

500.00

(550.00)

50.00

450.00

#Shares

537.67

537.67

537.67

371.00

371.00

371.00

EPS

(0.93)

0.19

0.93

(1.48)

0.13

1.21

 

70 Percent Stock—30 Percent Debt

70 Percent Debt—30 Percent Stock

 

Recession

Normal

Boom

Recession

Normal

Boom

EBIT

(500.00)

100.00

500.00

(500.00)

100.00

500.00

Interest

15.00

15.00

15.00

35.00

35.00

35.00

EBT

(515.00)

85.00

485.00

(535.00)

65.00

465.00

Taxes

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

EAT

(515.00)

85.00

485.00

(535.00)

65.00

465.00

#Shares

487.67

487.67

487.67

421.00

421.00

421.00

EPS

(1.06)

0.17

0.99

(1.27)

0.15

1.10

Conclusion: Gateway should use common stock to raise capital in recession or normal economic conditions but should use debt financing under boom conditions. Note that stock is the best alternative under all three conditions according to EAT (profit maximization), but EPS (maximize shareholders’ wealth) is the better ratio to make this decision.

TABLE 8-6 EPS/EBIT Analysis for Boeing (M = in millions)

Amount Needed: $10,000 M

Interest Rate: 5%

Tax Rate: 7%

Stock Price: $53.00

# of Shares Outstanding: 826 M

 

Common Stock Financing

Debt Financing

 

Recession

Normal

Boom

Recession

Normal

Boom

EBIT

1,000.00

2,500.00

5,000.00

1,000.00

2,500.00

5,000.00

Interest

0.00

0.00

0.00

500.00

500.00

500.00

EBT

1,000.00

2,500.00

5,000.00

500.00

2,000.00

4,500.00

Taxes

70.00

175.00

350.00

35.00

140.00

315.00

EAT

930.00

2,325.00

4,650.00

465.00

1,860.00

4,185.00

# Shares

1,014.68

1,014.68

1,014.68

826.00

826.00

826.00

EPS

0.92

2.29

4.58

0.56

2.25

5.07

 

70% Stock—30% Debt

70% Debt—30% Stock

 

Recession

Normal

Boom

Recession

Normal

Boom

EBIT

1,000.00

2,500.00

5,000.00

1,000.00

2,500.00

5,000.00

Interest

150.00

150.00

150.00

350.00

350.00

350.00

EBT

850.00

2,350.00

4,850.00

650.00

2,150.00

4,650.00

Taxes

59.50

164.50

339.50

45.50

150.50

325.50

EAT

790.50

2,185.50

4,510.50

604.50

1,999.50

4,324.50

# Shares

958.08

958.08

958.08

882.60

882.60

882.60

EPS

0.83

2.28

4.71

0.68

2.27

4.90

Conclusion: Boeing should use common stock to raise capital in recession (see 0.92) or normal (see 2.29) economic conditions but should use debt financing under boom conditions (see 5.07). Note that a dividends row is absent from this analysis. The more shares outstanding, the more dividends to be paid (if the firm pays dividends), which would lower the common stock EPS values.

Note in Table 8-5 and Table 8-6 that a dividends row is absent from both the Gateway and Boeing analyses. The more shares outstanding, the more dividends to be paid (if the firm indeed pays dividends). To consider dividends in an EPS/EBIT analysis, simply insert another row for “Dividends” right below the “EAT” row and then insert an “Earnings After Taxes and Dividends” row. Considering dividends would make the analysis more robust.

Note in both the Gateway and Boeing graphs, there is a breakeven point between the normal and boom range of EBIT where the debt option overtakes the 70/30 D/S option as the best financing alternative. A break-even point is where two lines cross each other. A break-even point is the EBIT level where various financing alternative represented by lines crossing are equally attractive in terms of EPS. Both the Gateway and Boeing graphs indicate that EPS values are highest for the 100 percent debt option at high EBIT levels. The two graphs also reveal that the EPS values for 100 percent debt increase faster than the other financing options as EBIT levels increase beyond the break-even point. At low levels of EBIT however, both the Gateway and Boeing graphs indicate that 100 percent stock is the best financing alternative because the EPS values are highest.

Projected Financial Statements

Projected financial statement analysis is a central strategy-implementation technique because it allows an organization to examine the expected results of various actions and approaches. This type of analysis can be used to forecast the impact of various implementation decisions (for example, to increase promotion expenditures by 50 percent to support a market-development strategy, to increase salaries by 25 percent to support a market-penetration strategy, to increase research and development expenditures by 70 percent to support product development, or to sell $1 million of common stock to raise capital for diversification). Nearly all financial institutions require at least three years of projected financial statements whenever a business seeks capital. A projected income statement and balance sheet allow an organization to compute projected financial ratios under various strategy-implementation scenarios. When compared to prior years and to industry averages, financial ratios provide valuable insights into the feasibility of various strategy-implementation approaches.

Primarily as a result of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act, companies today are being much more diligent in preparing projected financial statements to “reasonably rather than too optimistically” project future expenses and earnings. There is much more care not to mislead shareholders and other constituencies.

A 2015 projected income statement and a balance sheet for the Litten Company are provided in Table 8-7. The projected statements for Litten are based on five assumptions: (1) The company needs to raise $45 million to finance expansion into foreign markets; (2) $30 million of this total will be raised through increased debt and $15 million through common stock; (3) sales are expected to increase 50 percent; (4) three new facilities, costing a total of $30 million, will be constructed in foreign markets; and (5) land for the new facilities is already owned by the company. Note in Table 8-7 that Litten’s strategies and their implementation are expected to result in a sales increase from $100 million to $150 million and in a net increase in income from $6 million to $9.75 million in the forecasted year.

TABLE 8-7 A Projected Income Statement and Balance Sheet for the Litten Company (in millions)

 

Prior Year 2014

Projected Year 2015

Remarks

PROJECTED INCOME STATEMENT

Sales

$100

$150.00

50% increase

   Cost of Goods Sold

70

105.00

70% of sales

Gross Margin

30

45.00

 

   Selling Expense

10

15.00

10% of sales

   Administrative Expense

7.50

5% of sales

Earnings Before Interest and Taxes

15

22.50

 

   Interest

3.00

 

Earnings Before Taxes

12

19.50

 

   Taxes

9.75

50% rate

Net Income

6

9.75

 

   Dividends

5.00

 

Retained Earnings

4.75

 

PROJECTED BALANCE SHEET

Assets

   Cash

7.75

Plug figure

   Accounts Receivable

4.00

100% increase

   Inventory

20

45.00

 

   Total Current Assets

27

56.75

 

   Land

15

15.00

 

   Plant and Equipment

50

80.00

Add three new plants at $10 million each

   Less Depreciation

10

20.00

 

Net Plant and Equipment

40

60.00

 

Total Fixed Assets

55

75.00

 

Total Assets

82

131.75

 

Liabilities

   Accounts Payable

10

10.00

 

   Notes Payable

10

10.00

 

   Total Current Liabilities

20

20.00

 

   Long-term Debt

40

70.00

Borrowed $30 million

Additional Paid-in-Capital

20

35.00

Issued 100,000 shares at $150 each

   Retained Earnings

6.75

$2 + $4.75

Total Liabilities and Net Worth

82

131.75

 

There are six steps in performing projected financial analysis:

  • 1. Prepare the projected income statement before the balance sheet. Start by forecasting sales as accurately as possible. Be careful not to blindly push historical percentages into the future with regard to revenue (sales) increases. Be mindful of what the firm did to achieve those past sales increases, which may not be appropriate for the future unless the firm takes similar or analogous actions (such as opening a similar number of stores, for example). If dealing with a manufacturing firm, also be mindful that if the firm is operating at 100 percent capacity running three eight-hour shifts per day, then probably new manufacturing facilities (land, plant, and equipment) will be needed to increase sales further.

  • 2. Use the percentage-of-sales method to project cost of goods sold (CGS) and the expense items in the income statement. For example, if CGS is 70 percent of sales in the prior year (as it is in Table 8-7), then use that same percentage to calculate CGS in the future year—unless there is a reason to use a different percentage. Items such as interest, dividends, and taxes must be treated independently and cannot be forecasted using the percentage-of-sales method.

  • 3. Calculate the projected net income.

  • 4. Subtract from the net income any dividends to be paid for that year. This remaining net income is retained earnings (RE). Bring this retained earnings amount for that year (NI − DIV = RE) over to the balance sheet by adding it to the prior year’s RE shown on the balance sheet. In other words, every year a firm adds its RE for that particular year (from the income statement) to its historical RE total on the balance sheet. Therefore, the RE amount on the balance sheet is a cumulative number rather than money available for strategy implementation! Note that RE is the first projected balance sheet item to be entered. As a result of this accounting procedure in developing projected financial statements, the RE amount on the balance sheet is usually a large number. However, it also can be a low or even negative number if the firm has been incurring losses. The only way for RE to decrease from one year to the next on the balance sheet is (1) if the firm incurred an earnings loss that year or (2) the firm had positive net income for the year but paid out dividends more than the net income. Be mindful that RE is the key link between a projected income statement and balance sheet, so be careful to make this calculation correctly.

  • 5. Project the balance sheet items, beginning with retained earnings and then forecasting stockholders’ equity, long-term liabilities, current liabilities, total liabilities, total assets, fixed assets, and current assets (in that order). Use the cash account as the plug figure—that is, use the cash account to make the assets total the liabilities and net worth. Then make appropriate adjustments. For example, if the cash needed to balance the statements is too small (or too large), make appropriate changes to borrow more (or less) money than planned.

  • 6. List comments (remarks) on the projected statements. Any time a significant change is made in an item from a prior year to the projected year, an explanation (remark) should be provided. Remarks are essential because otherwise pro formas are meaningless.

Projected Financial Statement Analysis for Whole Foods Market

Because so many strategic management students have limited experience developing projected financial statements, let us apply the steps outlined on the previous pages to Whole Foods Market.

Whole Foods Market opened 16 stores in fiscal 2010. The projected statements given on the next page(s) are based on the following recommendations:

  • 1. Whole Foods opens 40 new stores in 2011 and 60 new stores in 2012.

  • 2. Whole Foods uses a 50/50 debt/stock combination to finance the 100 new stores.

  • 3. After paying almost no dividends in 2010, Whole Foods starts paying dividends at $1.00 per share in 2011 and 2012.

  • 4. Whole Foods boosts its advertising expenses by $20 million per year.

  • 5. Whole Foods installs a new inventory control system that increases the company’s low gross margin from 34.8 percent to 40.0 percent.

  • 6. Whole Foods’ per store revenues will increase 10 percent annually in 2011–2013 resulting from the new ad campaign and the improving economy.

  • 7. Total cost of recommendations for two years are $800 million = $200 million per year to be raised through both debt and equity.

Whole Foods’ actual consolidated income statements and balance sheets are provided in Table 8-8 and Table 8-9, respectively. The projected statements, based on the aforementioned recommendations, are provided in Table 8-10 and 8-11, respectively. Read carefully the notes (a through f), which reveal the rationale for various changes and exemplify the pro forma process. Note in Table 8-10 that Whole Foods’ operating margin with the proposed strategic plan increases from 4.9 percent in 2010 to 16.9 percent in 2012. Note in Table 8-11 that Whole Foods’ current ratio would be $3,580.3/$400 = 8.95, which is high. Thus, in 2012 the company could better use that money to perhaps pay down some of its $908 million in long-term debt.

The projected financial statements were prepared using the six steps outlined on prior pages and the above seven strategy statements. Note the cash account is used as the plug figure, and it is too high, so Whole Foods could reduce this number and concurrently reduce a liability or equity account the same amount to keep the statement in balance. Rarely is the cash account perfect on the first pass through, so adjustments are needed and made. However, these adjustments are not made on the projected statements given in Tables 8-10 and 8-11, so that the five strategy statements can be more readily seen on respective rows. Note the author’s comments on Tables 8-10 and 8-11 that help explain changes in the numbers.

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) conducts fraud investigations if projected numbers are misleading or if they omit information that’s important to investors. Projected statements must conform with generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) and must not be designed to hide poor expected results. The Sarbanes-Oxley Act requires CEOs and CFOs of corporations to personally sign their firms’ financial statements attesting to their accuracy. These executives could thus be held personally liable for misleading or inaccurate statements. The collapse of the Arthur Andersen accounting firm, along with its client Enron, fostered a “zero-tolerance” policy among auditors and shareholders with regard to a firm’s financial statements. But plenty of firms still “inflate” their financial projections and call them “pro formas,” so investors, shareholders, and other stakeholders must still be wary of different companies’ financial projections.9

On financial statements, different companies use different terms for various items, such as revenues or sales used for the same item by different companies. For net income, many firms use the term earnings, and many others use the term profits.

Financial Budgets

TABLE 8-8 Actual Whole Foods Market Income Statements (in millions)

 

2010

2009

Revenue (a)

$9,005.8

$8,031.6

Cost of Goods Sold

5,870.4

5,277.3

Gross Profit

3,135.4

2,754.3

Gross Profit Margin

34.8%

34.3%

SG&A Expense

2,697.4

2,470.0

Depreciation & Amortization

275.6

266.7

Operating Income

438.0

284.3

Operating Margin

4.9%

3.5%

Nonoperating Income

6.9

3.4

Nonoperating Expenses

(33.0)

(36.9)

Income Before Taxes

411.8

250.9

Income Taxes (b)

165.9

104.1

Net Income After Taxes

245.8

146.8

Net Income

$245.8

$146.8

(a)

Note that the 16 news stores in 2010 resulted in ($9,005.8 – 8,031.6 = 974.2 revenue increase = an average of $974.2/16 = $60.89) $60.89 million as the average revenue per new store.

(b)

Note Whole Foods’ effective tax rate is $165.9/411.8 = 40.3%.

A financial budget is a document that details how funds will be obtained and spent for a specified period of time. Annual budgets are most common, although the period of time for a budget can range from one day to more than 10 years. Fundamentally, financial budgeting is a method for specifying what must be done to complete strategy implementation successfully. Financial budgeting should not be thought of as a tool for limiting expenditures but rather as a method for obtaining the most productive and profitable use of an organization’s resources. Financial budgets can be viewed as the planned allocation of a firm’s resources based on forecasts of the future.

TABLE 8-9 Actual Whole Foods Market Balance Sheets (in millions)

 

2010

2009

Assets

 

 

Current Assets

 

 

Cash

$132.0

$430.1

Net Receivables

133.3

104.7

Inventories

323.5

310.6

Other Current Assets

572.7

209.9

Total Current Assets

1,161.5

1,055.4

Net Fixed Assets (a)

1,886.1

1,897.9

Other Noncurrent Assets

938.9

830.2

Total Assets

3,986.5

3,783.4

Liabilities

 

 

Current Liabilities

 

 

Accounts Payable

213.2

189.6

Short-Term Debt

0.4

0.4

Other Current Liabilities

534.3

494.0

Total Current Liabilities

747.9

684.0

Long-Term Debt

508.3

738.8

Other Noncurrent Liabilities

357.0

732.6

Total Liabilities

1,613.2

2,155.5

Shareholders’ Equity

 

 

Common Stock

500

400

Additional-paid-in-capital

1,274.7

869.7

Retained Earnings (b)

598.6

358.2

Total Shareholders’ Equity

2,373.3

1,627.9

Total Liabilities and SE

$3,986.5

$3,783.4

Shares Outstanding (thou.)

172,033

140,542

(a)

Since Whole Foods operated 300 stores in 2010, we can estimate cost per store = $1,886/300 = $6.3 million and use that cost # for each new store to be built.

(b)

Note that Whole Foods reinvested back into the company $240.4 million of its total $245.8 million in net income, so in 2010 the company paid out only $5.4 million in dividends. We know that because $598.6 – $358.2 = $240.4.

There are almost as many different types of financial budgets as there are types of organizations. Some common types of budgets include cash budgets, operating budgets, sales budgets, profit budgets, factory budgets, capital budgets, expense budgets, divisional budgets, variable budgets, flexible budgets, and fixed budgets. When an organization is experiencing financial difficulties, budgets are especially important in guiding strategy implementation.

Perhaps the most common type of financial budget is the cash budget. The Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) has mandated that every publicly held company in the USA must issue an annual cash-flow statement in addition to the usual financial reports. The statement includes all receipts and disbursements of cash in operations, investments, and financing. It supplements the Statement on Changes in Financial Position formerly included in the annual reports of all publicly held companies. A cash budget for the year 2015 for the Toddler Toy Company is provided in Table 8-12. Note that Toddler is not expecting to have surplus cash until November 2015.

TABLE 8-10 Projected Whole Foods Market Income Statements (in millions)

 

2010

2011

2012

Revenue (a)

$9,005.8

12,584.0

17,860.0

Cost of Goods Sold

5,870.4

7,550.0

10,716.0

Gross Profit

3,135.4

5,034.0

7,144.0

Gross Profit Margin (b)

34.8%

40%

40%

SG&A Expense (c)

2,697.4

3,782.0

4,109.0

Depreciation & Amortization

275.6

290

310.0

Operating Income

438.0

1,252.0

3,035.0

Operating Margin

4.9%

9.9%

16.9%

Nonoperating Income

6.9

Nonoperating Expenses

(33.0)

Income Before Taxes

411.8

1,252.0

3,035.0

Income Taxes (d)

165.9

504.0

1,223.0

Net Income After Taxes

245.8

748.0

1,812.0

Net Income

$245.8

748.0

1,812.0

Dividends

5.4

175.0

180.0

Retained Earnings

$240.4

573.0

1,632.0

(a)

$60.89 million per new store + 10% increase for all stores, so in 2011 we have $60.89 × 40 = $2,435 + 9,005 = $11,440 + 10% = $12,584. In 2012 we have $60.89 × 60 = 3,653 + 12,584 = $16,237 + 10% = $17,860.

(b)

increases to 40% due to better inventory control; note that 5,034/12,584 = 40% and 7,144/17,860 = 40%.

(c)

same 29.9% of revenue + $20 million per year, new ad campaign; note that $12,584 ×.299 + $20 = $3,782.

(d)

same 40.3% rate as in 2010.

Financial budgets have some limitations. First, budgetary programs can become so detailed that they are cumbersome and overly expensive. Overbudgeting or underbudgeting can cause problems. Second, financial budgets can become a substitute for objectives. A budget is a tool and not an end in itself. Third, budgets can hide inefficiencies if based solely on precedent rather than on periodic evaluation of circumstances and standards. Finally, budgets are sometimes used as instruments of tyranny that result in frustration, resentment, absenteeism, and high turnover. To minimize the effect of this last concern, managers should increase the participation of subordinates in preparing budgets.

Company Valuation

Evaluating the worth of a business is central to strategy implementation because integrative, intensive, and diversification strategies are often implemented by acquiring other firms. Other strategies, such as retrenchment and divestiture, may result in the sale of a division of an organization or of the firm itself. Thousands of transactions occur each year in which businesses are bought or sold in the USA. In all these cases, it is necessary to establish the financial worth or cash value of a business to successfully implement strategies.

All the various methods for determining a business’s worth can be grouped into three main approaches: what a firm owns, what a firm earns, or what a firm will bring in the market. But it is important to realize that valuation is not an exact science. The valuation of a firm’s worth is based on financial facts, but common sense and intuitive judgment must enter into the process. It is difficult to assign a monetary value to some factors—such as a loyal customer base, a history of growth, legal suits pending, dedicated employees, a favorable lease, a bad credit rating, or good patents—that may not be reflected in a firm’s financial statements. Also, different valuation methods will yield different totals for a firm’s worth, and no prescribed approach is best for a certain situation. Evaluating the worth of a business truly requires both qualitative and quantitative skills.

TABLE 8-11 Projected Whole Foods Market Balance Sheets (in millions)

 

2010

2011

2012

Assets

 

 

 

Current Assets

 

 

 

Cash

$132.0

$1,55.3

$3,260.3

Net Receivables

133.3

140.0

160.0

Inventories

323.5

330.0

360.0

Other Current Assets

572.7

Total Current Assets

1,161.5

2,020.3

3,580.3

Net Fixed Assets (a)

1,886.1

2,138.0

2,516.0

Other Noncurrent Assets

938.9

Total Assets

$3,986.5

$4,159.3

$6,296.3

Liabilities

 

 

 

Current Liabilities

 

 

 

Accounts Payable

213.2

300.0

400.0

Short-Term Debt

0.4

Other Current Liabilities

534.3

Total Current Liabilities

747.9

300.0

400.0

Long-Term Debt (b)

508.3

708.0

908.0

Other Noncurrent Liabilities

357.0

Total Liabilities

1,613.2

1,008.0

1,308.0

Shareholders’ Equity

 

 

 

Common Stock (c)

500.0

505.0

510.0

Additional-paid-in-capital (d)

1,247.7

1,474.7

1,674.7

Retained Earnings (e)

598.6

1,171.6

2,803.6

Total Shareholders’ Equity

2,373.3

3151.3

4,988.3

Total Liabilities and SE

$3,986.5

$4,159.3

$6,296.3

Shares Outstanding (in thousands) (f)

172,033

177,033

182,033

(a)

$6.3 M per store × 40 stores = 252 + 1,886 = 2,138; 6.3 × 60 = 378 + 2,139 = 2,516

(b)

$200 M to be raised by debt annually

(c)

add 5 M new shares annually since $40 per share and need $200 M to be raised by equity annually

(d)

add $200 M annually thru stock issuance

(e)

$ 598.6 + $ 573.0 = $1,171.6 + 1,632.0 = $2,803.6

(f)

stock price = $40, $200 M needed per year thru equity, so 5 M new shares to be issued annually; thus 172,033 + 5 M = 177,033

The first approach in evaluating the worth of a business is determining its net worth or stockholders’ equity. Net worth represents the sum of common stock, additional paid-in capital, and retained earnings. After calculating net worth, subtract an appropriate amount for goodwill and intangibles. Whereas intangibles include copyrights, patents, and trademarks, goodwill arises only if a firm acquires another firm and pays more than the book value for that firm.

It should be noted that FASB Rule 142 requires companies to admit once a year if the premiums they paid for acquisitions, called goodwill, were a waste of money. Goodwill is not a good thing to have on a balance sheet. Note in Table 8-13 that J.M. Smucker’s $Goodwill to $Total Assets is a really high 33.5 percent, indicating that a third of the company’s assets are “Goodwill,” which is not good.

The second approach to measuring the value of a firm grows out of the belief that the worth of any business should be based largely on the future benefits its owners may derive through net profits. A conservative rule of thumb is to establish a business’s worth as five times the firm’s current annual profit. A five-year average profit level could also be used. When using this approach, remember that firms normally suppress earnings in their financial statements to minimize taxes.

TABLE 8-12 Six-Month Cash Budget for the Toddler Toy Company in 2015

TABLE 8-13 Company Worth Analysis for J.M. Smucker, Microsoft Corp., and Zale Corp. (in millions, except stock price and EPS)

Input Data

J.M. Smucker

Microsoft Corp.

Zale Corp.

$ Shareholders’ Equity (SE)

5,163

66,363

178

$ Net Income (NI)

460

17,000

−27

$ Stock Price (SP)

80

30

$ EPS

4.08

2.00

−.90

# of Shares Outstanding

109

8,330

32

$ Goodwill

3,050

13,542

100

$ Intangibles

3,190

3,170

$ Total Assets

9,115

121,271

1,171

Company Worth Analyses

 

 

 

1. SE – Goodwill – Intangibles

$977

$49,741

$78

2. Net Income x 5

2,300

85,000

3. (SP/EPS) x NI

9,019

225,000

4. # of Shares Out x Stock Price

8,720

251,400

224

5. Four Method Average

$4,765

$161,285

$151

$ Goodwill/$ Total Assets

33.5%

11.1%

8.5%

The third approach is called the price-earnings ratio method. To use this method, divide the market price of the firm’s common stock by the annual earnings per share and multiply this number by the firm’s average net income for the past five years.

The fourth method can be called the outstanding shares method. To use this method, simply multiply the number of shares outstanding by the market price per share. If the purchase price is more than this amount, the additional dollars are called a premium. The outstanding shares method may be called the “market value” or “market capitalization” or “book value” of the firm. The premium is a per-share dollar amount that a person or firm is willing to pay beyond the book value of the firm to control (acquire) the other company. Bristol-Myers Squibb recently offered $31 a share to acquire Amylin Pharmaceuticals and that offer represented a 9.9 percent premium over Amylin’s closing stock price the day of the offer. WellPoint, the second-largest insurer in the USA, recently acquired Amerigroup for $92 per share in cash, which was a whopping 43 percent premium to Amerigroup’s closing stock price of $64.34. Amerigroup’s stock soared 38 percent to $88.79 the day after the offer.

Table 8-13 provides the cash value analyses for three companies—J.M. Smucker, Microsoft Corp., and Zale Corp.—for fiscal year-end 2012. Notice that there is significant variation among the four methods used to determine cash value. For example, the worth of J.M. Smucker ranged from minus $1,077 to $9.019 billion. Obviously, if you were selling your company, you would seek the larger values, whereas if purchasing a company you would seek the lower values. In practice, substantial negotiation takes place in reaching a final compromise (or averaged) amount. Also recognize that if a firm’s net income is negative, theoretically the approaches involving that figure would result in a negative number, implying that the firm would pay you to acquire them. Of course, you obtain all of the firm’s debt and liabilities in an acquisition, so theoretically this would be possible.

Hewlett-Packard, Boston Scientific, Frontier Communications, and Republic Services (unfortunately for them) carry more goodwill on their balance sheet than their market (or book) value. This is a signal that their goodwill should be “written down,” which means “reduced and recorded as an expense on the income statement.” Nasdaq OMX Group’s $5.1 billion in goodwill exceeds its $3.9 billion market capitalization by a precarious 31 percent. Jack Ciesielski, publisher of Analyst’s Accounting Observer, says: “Writing down goodwill is an admission that the company screwed up when it budgeted what an acquired firm is worth.” Sometimes it is OK to pay more for a company than its book value if the firm has technology or patents you need or economies of scale you desire or even to reduce competitive pricing pressure, but, like buying a house, paying a “premium” for a company is almost always not a good thing. Acquiring at a “discount” is far better for shareholders.

Because goodwill write-down accounting rules involve projections and judgments, companies have leeway for when to write down goodwill, and by how much. Microsoft for example in 2012 wrote down (reduced) their goodwill $6.2 billion, basically admitting that their previous acquisition of online-advertising firm aQuantive Inc. for $6.3 billion was ill advised—now recording that amount as an expense. Analysts expect Hewlett-Packard to soon write down some (or all) of the $6.6 billion in goodwill among the $10.1 billion total that they recently paid for British software maker Autonomy PLC.10

If the purchase price is less than the stock price times number of shares outstanding, rather than more, that difference is called a discount. For example, when Clayton Doubilier & Rice LLC recently acquired Emergency Medical Services (EMS) Corp. for $2.9 billion, a 9.4 percent discount below EMS’s stock price of $64.00.

Business evaluations are becoming routine in many situations. Businesses have many strategy-implementation reasons for determining their worth in addition to preparing to be sold or to buy other companies. Employee plans, taxes, retirement packages, mergers, acquisitions, expansion plans, banking relationships, death of a principal, divorce, partnership agreements, and IRS audits are other reasons for a periodic valuation. It is just good business to have a reasonable understanding of what a firm is worth. This knowledge protects the interests of all parties involved.

Ryan Brewer, an assistant professor of finance at Indiana University-Purdue University Columbus, recently calculated the monetary value of top college football teams. Brewer examined each program’s revenues and expenses and made cash-flow adjustments, risk assessments and growth projections for each school. Brewer’s results for 69 college programs are provided in Table 8-14. Note that Texas was the most valuable college football program in 2012, followed by Michigan. Interestingly, all of these programs are “nonprofit.” As a point of reference, the NFL’s Jacksonville Jaguars sold in late 2011 for about $760 million.

TABLE 8-14 The Monetary Value of Various College Football Programs

Source: Ryan Brewer, Indiana University-Purdue University Columbus.

Note: Excludes Wake Forest; based on information at http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887324391104578225802183417888.html.

Deciding Whether to Go Public

Hundreds of companies in 2012 held initial public offerings (IPOs) to move from being private to being public. These firms took advantage of high stock market prices. For example, some recent IPOs include computer-network-security firm Palo Alto Networks Inc., search engine Kayak Software Corp., guitar maker Fender Musical Instruments, discount retailer Five Below, and pharmaceutical developer Durata Therapeutics, health-food retailer Natural Grocers by vitamin Cottage, software firm E2open, and Chuy’s Holdings, a U.S.-based operator of Mexican restaurants. MGM Holdings, parent of the film studio Metro-Goldwyn-Mayer, just hired Goldman Sachs Group to develop a public stock offering for the company. MGM hopes its new “Hobbit” and “Skyfall” movies will help its pending IPO.

Groupon, the firm that offers daily deals on services, went public in November 2011 at $20 per share or $13 billion in market capitalization, but less than a year later Groupon stock was selling for $6.00 per share and the company’s market capitalization had dropped to less than $5 billion. Zynga and Facebook’s recent IPO’s also turned sour quite quickly.

Going public means selling off a percentage of a company to others to raise capital; consequently, it dilutes the owners’ control of the firm. Going public is not recommended for companies with less than $10 million in sales because the initial costs can be too high for the firm to generate sufficient cash flow to make going public worthwhile. One dollar in four is the average total cost paid to lawyers, accountants, and underwriters when an initial stock issuance is under $1 million; $1 in $20 will go to cover these costs for issuances over $20 million.

In addition to initial costs involved with a stock offering, there are costs and obligations associated with reporting and management in a publicly held firm. For firms with more than $10 million in sales, going public can provide major advantages. It can allow the firm to raise capital to develop new products, build plants, expand, grow, and market products and services more effectively.

Research and Development (R&D) Issues

In terms of “Innovation,” Fortune recently ranked the following companies as best in the world. Note that Apple retained its number-1 ranking from the prior year.

Rank

Company

Apple

Sistema

GDF Suez

Limited Brands

Qualcomm

6*

Enterprise Products Partners

6*

Koc Holding

Amazon.com

Sealed Air

10

Nike

Source: Based on http://money.cnn.com/magazines/fortune/most-admired/2012/best_worst/best1.html.

Research and development (R&D) personnel can play an integral part in strategy implementation. These individuals are generally charged with developing new products and improving old products in a way that will allow effective strategy implementation. R&D employees and managers perform tasks that include transferring complex technology, adjusting processes to local raw materials, adapting processes to local markets, and altering products to particular tastes and specifications. Strategies such as product development, market penetration, and related diversification require that new products be successfully developed and that old products be significantly improved.

Technological improvements that affect consumer and industrial products and services shorten product life cycles. Companies in virtually every industry are relying on the development of new products and services to fuel profitability and growth.11 Surveys suggest that the most successful organizations use an R&D strategy that ties external opportunities to internal strengths and is linked with objectives. Well-formulated R&D policies match market opportunities with internal capabilities. R&D policies can enhance strategy implementation efforts to:

  • 1. Emphasize product or process improvements.

  • 2. Stress basic or applied research.

  • 3. Be leaders or followers in R&D.

  • 4. Develop robotics or manual-type processes.

  • 5. Spend a high, average, or low amount of money on R&D.

  • 6. Perform R&D within the firm or to contract R&D to outside firms.

  • 7. Use university researchers or private-sector researchers.

R&D policy among rival firms often varies dramatically. For example, Pfizer spends only about $5 billion annually on R&D even though the firm has about $70 billion in annual revenues, whereas rival Merck spends about $10 billion annually on R&D with annual revenue of about $50 billion. Underlying this difference in strategy between the two pharmaceutical giants is a philosophical disagreement over the merits of heavy investment to discover new drugs versus waiting for others to spend the money and discover and then follow up with similar products. Pfizer and Merck “are going in different directions,” said Les Funtleyder, portfolio manager of the Miller Tabak Health Care Transformation mutual fund.

There must be effective interactions between R&D departments and other functional departments in implementing different types of generic business strategies. Conflicts between marketing, finance and accounting, R&D, and information systems departments can be minimized with clear policies and objectives. Table 8-15 gives some examples of R&D activities that could be required for successful implementation of various strategies. Many U.S. utility, energy, and automotive companies are employing their R&D departments to determine how the firm can effectively reduce its gas emissions.

TABLE 8-15 Research and Development Involvement in Selected Strategy-Implementation Situations

Type of Organization

Strategy Being Implemented

R&D Activity

Pharmaceutical company

Product development

Test the effects of a new drug on different subgroups.

Boat manufacturer

Related diversification

Test the performance of various keel designs under various conditions.

Plastic container manufacturer

Market penetration

Develop a biodegradable container.

Electronics company

Market development

Develop a telecommunications system in a foreign country.

Many firms wrestle with the decision to acquire R&D expertise from external firms or to develop R&D expertise internally. The following guidelines can be used to help make this decision:

  • 1. If the rate of technical progress is slow, the rate of market growth is moderate, and there are significant barriers to possible new entrants, then in-house R&D is the preferred solution. The reason is that R&D, if successful, will result in a temporary product or process monopoly that the company can exploit.

  • 2. If technology is changing rapidly and the market is growing slowly, then a major effort in R&D may be risky because it may lead to the development of an ultimately obsolete technology or one for which there is no market.

  • 3. If technology is changing slowly but the market is growing quickly, there generally is not enough time for in-house development. The prescribed approach is to obtain R&D expertise on an exclusive or nonexclusive basis from an outside firm.

  • 4. If both technical progress and market growth are fast, R&D expertise should be obtained through acquisition of a well-established firm in the industry.12

There are at least three major R&D approaches for implementing strategies. The first strategy is to be the first firm to market new technological products. This is a glamorous and exciting strategy but also a dangerous one. Even Apple found this to be dangerous as per Samsung. Firms such as 3M and General Electric have been successful with this approach, but many other pioneering firms have fallen, with rival firms seizing the initiative.

A second R&D approach is to be an innovative imitator of successful products, thus minimizing the risks and costs of start-up. This approach entails allowing a pioneer firm to develop the first version of the new product and to demonstrate that a market exists. Then, laggard firms develop a similar product. This strategy requires excellent R&D and marketing personnel.

A third R&D strategy is to be a low-cost producer by mass-producing products similar to but less expensive than products recently introduced. As a new product is accepted by customers, price becomes increasingly important in the buying decision. Also, mass marketing replaces personal selling as the dominant selling strategy. This R&D strategy requires substantial investment in plant and equipment but fewer expenditures in R&D than the two approaches described previously. Dell and Lenovo have utilized this third approach to gain competitive advantage.

R&D activities among U.S. firms need to be more closely aligned to business objectives. There needs to be expanded communication between R&D managers and strategists. Corporations are experimenting with various methods to achieve this improved communication climate, including different roles and reporting arrangements for managers and new methods to reduce the time it takes research ideas to become reality.

Perhaps the most current trend in R&D management has been lifting the veil of secrecy whereby firms, even major competitors, are joining forces to develop new products. Collaboration is on the rise as a result of new competitive pressures, rising research costs, increasing regulatory issues, and accelerated product development schedules. Companies not only are working more closely with each other on R&D, but they are also turning to consortia at universities for their R&D needs. More than 600 research consortia are now in operation in the USA.

Management Information Systems (MIS) Issues

Firms that gather, assimilate, and evaluate external and internal information most effectively are gaining competitive advantages over other firms. Having an effective management information system (MIS) may be the most important factor in differentiating successful from unsuccessful firms. The process of strategic management is facilitated immensely in firms that have an effective information system.

Information collection, retrieval, and storage can be used to create competitive advantages in ways such as cross-selling to customers, monitoring suppliers, keeping managers and employees informed, coordinating activities among divisions, and managing funds. Like inventory and human resources, information is now recognized as a valuable organizational asset that can be controlled and managed. Firms that implement strategies using the best information will reap competitive advantages in the twenty-first century.

A good information system can allow a firm to reduce costs. For example, online orders from salespersons to production facilities can shorten materials ordering time and reduce inventory costs. Direct communications between suppliers, manufacturers, marketers, and customers can link together elements of the value chain as though they were one organization. Improved quality and service often result from an improved information system.

Firms must increasingly be concerned about computer hackers and take specific measures to secure and safeguard corporate communications, files, orders, and business conducted over the Internet. Thousands of companies today are plagued by computer hackers who include disgruntled employees, competitors, bored teens, sociopaths, thieves, spies, and hired agents. Computer vulnerability is a giant, expensive headache.

Headquartered in Short Hills, New Jersey, Dun & Bradstreet is an example company that has an excellent information system. Every D&B customer and client in the world has a separate nine-digit number. The database of more than 200 million businesses worldwide contains of information associated with each number. The D-U-N-S # has become so widely used that it is like a business Social Security number. D&B reaps great competitive advantages from its information system.

In many firms, information technology is doing away with the workplace and allowing employees to work at home or anywhere, anytime. The mobile concept of work allows employees to work the traditional 9-to-5 workday across any of the 24 time zones around the globe. Affordable desktop videoconferencing software allows employees to “beam in” whenever needed. Any manager or employee who travels a lot away from the office is a good candidate for working at home rather than in an office provided by the firm. Salespersons or consultants are good examples, but any person whose job largely involves talking to others or handling information could easily operate at home with the proper MIS.13

Business Analytics

Business analytics is a MIS technique that involves using software to mine huge volumes of data to help executives make decisions. Sometimes called predictive analytics, machine learning, or data mining, this software enables a researcher to assess and use the aggregate experience of an organization, a priceless strategic asset for a firm. The history of a firm’s interaction with its customers, suppliers, distributors, employees, rival firms, and more can all be tapped with data mining to generate predictive models. Business analytics is similar to the actuarial methods used by insurance companies to rate customers by the chance of positive or negative outcomes. Every business is basically a risk management endeavor! Therefore, like insurance companies, all businesses can benefit from measuring, tracking, and computing the risk associated with hundreds of strategic and tactical decisions made everyday. Business analytics enables a company to benefit from measuring and managing risk.

As more and more products become commoditized (so similar as to be indistinguishable), competitive advantage more and more hinges on improvements to business processes. Business analytics can provide a firm with proprietary business intelligence regarding, for example, which segment(s) of customers choose your firm versus those who defer, delay, or defect to a competitor and why. Business analytics can reveal where competitors are weak so that marketing and sales activities can be directly targeted to take advantage of resultant opportunities (knowledge). In addition to understanding consumer behavior better, which yields more effective and efficient marketing, business analytics also is being used to slash expenses by, for example, withholding retention offers from customers who are going to stay with the firm anyway, or managing fraudulent transactions involving invoices, credit care purchases, tax returns insurance claims, mobile phone calls, online ad clicks, and more.

A key distinguishing feature of business analytics is that it is predictive rather than retrospective, in that it enables a firm to learn from experience and to make current and future decisions based on prior information. Deriving robust predictive models from data mining to support hundreds of commonly occurring business decisions is the essence of learning from experience. The mathematical models associated with business analytics can dramatically enhance decision making at all organizational levels and all stages of strategic management. In a sense, art becomes science with business analytics resulting from the mathematical generalization of thousands, millions, or even billions of prior data points to discover patterns of behavior for optimizing the deployment of resources.

IBM’s former CEO Samuel Palmisano announced that IBM is moving aggressively into business analytics, trying to overtake Oracle’s market share lead.14 IBM’s annual business analytics revenues of about $40 billion are growing about 15 percent every quarter compared to the industry growing about 15 percent annually. IBM’s acquisition of SPSS for $1.2 billion, among other recent acquisitions, launched the firm heavily into the business analytics consulting business. Microsoft currently has a software program called PowerPivot that offers data-mining capability in a spreadsheet-like way, but this is not nearly as powerful as business analytics software. IBM recently completed a business analytics project for the New York City Fire Department whereby buildings in the city were assessed for risk.

Special Note to Students

Regardless of your business major, be sure to capitalize on that special knowledge in delivering your strategic management case analysis. Whenever the opportunity arises in your oral or written project, reveal how your firm can gain and sustain competitive advantage using your marketing, finance and accounting, or MIS recommendations. Continuously compare your firm to rivals and draw insights and conclusions so that your recommendations come across as well conceived. Never shy away from the EPS/EBIT or projected financial statement analyses because your audience must be convinced that what you recommend is financially feasible and worth the dollars to be spent. Spend sufficient time on the nuts-and-bolts of those analyses, so fellow students (and your professor) will be assured that you did them correctly and reasonably. Too often, when students rush at the end, it means their financial statements are overly optimistic or incorrectly developed—so avoid that issue. The marketing, finance and accounting, and MIS aspects of your recommended strategies must ultimately work together to gain and sustain competitive advantage for the firm—so point that out frequently. By the way, the free student excel template at www.strategyclub.com can help immensely in performing EPS-EBIT analysis.

Conclusion

Successful strategy implementation depends on cooperation among all functional and divisional managers in an organization. Marketing departments are commonly charged with implementing strategies that require significant increases in sales revenues in new areas and with new or improved products. Finance and accounting managers must devise effective strategy- implementation approaches at low cost and minimum risk to that firm. R&D managers have to transfer complex technologies or develop new technologies to successfully implement strategies. Information systems managers are being called upon more and more to provide leadership and training for all individuals in the firm. The nature and role of marketing, finance and accounting, R&D, and MIS activities, coupled with the management activities described in Chapter 7, largely determine organizational success