Latin America
LIVING IN ACTUALLY EXISTING DEMOCRACIES: Democracy to the Extent Possible in Chile
Author(syf Patricio Navia
Source: Latin American Research Review, Vol. 45, Special Issue: Living in Actually Existing
Democracies (2010yf S S 8
Published by: The Latin American Studies Association
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DEMOCRACIES
Democracy to the Extent Possible in Chile
Patricio Navia
Universidad Diego Portales and New York University
Abstract: Chilean democracy is today more consolidated and inclusive than before the military dictatorship or at any point since the center-left Concertaci?n gov ernment came to power. Yet the 1973 coup and Augusto Pinochet's dictatorship remain a defining moment in Chilean history. After all, democracy has been built on the foundations set in place by the country's 1980 Constitution. Although the
Constitution has been amended several times, it is a reminder that Pinochet is the
father of today's Chile, and the Concertaci?n coalition a deserving stepfather. Pour
consecutive Concertaci?n governments have helped heal deep social and political wounds and have presided over the most successful period of growth and progress in the nation's history. I discuss the shortcomings of Chilean democracy before 1973
and the status quo of democracy. Although I acknowledge the threat these might pose to further democratic consolidation, they are evidence of a healthy and work
ing democracy.
Chilean democracy has consolidated far beyond what Pinochet and his
allies had in mind when drafting the 1980 Constitution. Paraphrasing for
mer president Patricio Aylwin's famous dictum, Chile enjoys a democratic
system to the extent possible. Aylwin's definition of transitional justice
(justicia en la medida de lo posibleyf has extended into the fabric and insti
tutions of Chile's twenty-year-old democracy. Democracy is today more
consolidated and inclusive than it was before the military dictatorship or
than it has been at any point since the center-left Concertaci?n govern ment came to power. Yet the 1973 coup and the seventeen-year dictator
ship of Augusto Pinochet remain a defining moment in Chilean history. After all, democracy has been built on the foundations set in place by the
1980 Constitution. Although the Constitution has been amended several
times?and most of its deadlock authoritarian provisions and enclaves
have been eliminated?the Constitution reminds us that Pinochet is the
father of today's Chile. Yet the Concertaci?n coalition has been a deserv
ing stepfather. Four consecutive Concertaci?n governments have helped
This article was written with financial support from Chile's Fondo Nacional de Desarollo Cient?fico y Tecnol?gico (FONDECYTyf Grant 1085243. I thank two anonymous LARR re
viewers for their comments.
Latin American Research Review, Special Issue ? 2010 by the Latin American Studies Association.
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heal deep social and political wounds and have presided over Chile's most
successful period of economic growth, social inclusion, and democratic
progress in the nation's history. When democracy was restored in 1990,2.8 million Chileans (17 percentyf were younger than ten years old. An additional 5.3 million (31 percentyf have been born since. In fact, fewer than 43 percent of Chileans were born
before 1973. Only three of every ten Chileans were at least eight years old
when the military bombed the presidential palace and the socialist presi dent Salvador Allende committed suicide. When the new president?the fifth democratically elected since 1989?took office in March 2010, Chilean
democracy turned twenty years old. For most Chileans, it was the only democratic experience they have known. Because it has evolved within?
and beyond?the constraints the authoritarian constitution imposed on
it, but also because it has evolved in a context of persistent levels of in
equality combined with stable economic growth, Chile's democracy has
evident strengths and unquestionable weaknesses. But it provides a good
platform for future consolidation and offers opportunities to promote and
bring about increasing levels of social and economic inclusion and to ex
pand political rights. In what follows, I first discuss the shortcomings of Chilean democracy before 1973.1 summarize the context in which democracy emerged from
the dictator's shadow. After analyzing how the institutional design en
trenched in the Constitution hindered democratic consolidation, I high
light how democracy has nonetheless grown. I discuss the status quo of democracy, with the tension between a political elite satisfied with a
top-down approach to democracy and a growing demand for more par
ticipation and bottom-up mechanisms of democracy. I finish by analyzing the challenges the Bachelet administration faced and stress underlying social and political tensions that exist in Chile today. Although I acknowl
edge the threat these might pose to further democratic consolidation, I
also highlight how they are evidence of a growingly healthy and working
democracy.
THE MYTH OF THE PRE-PINOCHET DEMOCRATIC CHILE
The system the 1973 coup shattered was not an inclusive or sufficiently institutionalized democracy. The election of Salvador Allende, who prom
ised a "Chilean road to socialism," and the previous sweeping victory
by Christian Democratic (Partido Dem?crata Cristiano, or PDCyf Eduardo
Frei, who advocated a "revolution in liberty," reflect that the old demo
cratic system was not functioning very well and indeed required transfor
mations (Gil, Lagos, and Landsberger 1979; A. Valenzuela and J. S. Valen
zuela 1976; Kaufman 1972; Loveman 1976,1988; Drake 1978; Stallings 1978;
A. Valenzuela 1977; Garret?n 1989yf The average annual growth between
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1960 and 1970 was 4.1 percent, but only 1.7 percent when measured per
capita. According to World Bank figures, inflation averaged 27 percent in
the 1960s. Chile was a profoundly unequal society, in which the poorest 20
percent received 3.7 percent of national income in 1967, whereas the rich
est 20 percent received 56.5 percent (Beyer 1997yf
However, there was some political inclusion in the second half of the
twentieth century. After women's enfranchisement in 1949,29.1 percent of
voting-age Chileans cast ballots in 1952. When Frei was elected in 1964,
61.6 percent of eligible voters went to the polls. In the last election before
the coup, held in March 1973, 69.1 percent of voting-age citizens cast a
ballot in that highly polarized contest (Navia 2004yf The rapid political inclusion in that period both reflected growing polarization and helped radicalize politics. Social and political inclusion became the goal of revo
lutionary and reformist parties. However, the inability of the state appa ratus to make education, health, and other public services more inclusive
rendered the democratic system incapable of accommodating newcomers.
The newly enfranchised population wanted in, but the structure of the
state could not survive unaltered with the additional pressure to distrib
ute resources. Jocelyn-Holt (1998,112yf has described the system as one in
which the haves "had been for years in a party," but as time went by, "the
number of guests [kept] on increasing." The old democratic system, based
on limited social and political inclusion, could not cope with demands
for universal inclusion. Although the military dictatorship was not inevi
table (A. Valenzuela 1978; Garret?n and Mouli?n 1983yf nor was the legacy of human rights violations, Chile's old democracy, built on the premise of limited social inclusion, could not survive. Frei's call to bring about
change in a bourgeois democratic order and Allende's more radical call
for a democratic road to socialism reflected the need to dramatically alter
the political order that emerged after the 1925 Constitution.
PINOCHET, FATHER OF TODAY'S CHILE
The ensuing seventeen-year-old brutal dictatorship did not originally seek to generate a new institutional order. In fact, those who called for
a military coup sought to prevent, not promote, political and economic
inclusion. Probably not even Pinochet himself thought, when taking
power as part of a four-member military junta on September 11,1973, that
his legacy would be so lasting. The economic model initially forced by the dictatorship and its economic team (Vald?s 1995; Fontaine Aldunate
1988; Vergara 1985yf has been the basis of the economic policies adopted since the return of democracy. Although successive Concertaci?n govern ments have championed several reforms aimed to increase social spend
ing, to reduce poverty, and to create a safety net for the needy (Meiler
2005; Boeninger 2007; Ottone and Vergara 2006; Larra?n and Vergara 2000;
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Martinez and Diaz 1996yf the fact that the Concertaci?n itself identifies its
economic model as neoliberalism with a human face and social market
economy reflects the extent to which Pinochet's legacy remains a defining factor.
The Pinochet regime did not immediately embrace neoliberalism
(Huneeus 2007; Barros 2002; Cristi 2000; Cavallo, Salazar, and Sep?lveda
1997; Vial Correa 2002yf More preoccupied with eliminating the Marxist
threat, the regime began to talk about "goals, not deadlines" (metas, no
plazosyf after it gained political control and stabilized the economy. The
famous 1978 Chacarillas speech, delivered by Pinochet and written by his adviser Jaime Guzm?n, established a road map for a transition to a
protected democracy (Cristi 2000; Huneeus 2007yf The 1980 Constitution,
approved in a plebiscite held under undemocratic conditions, entrenched
a political system full of deadlock provisions. Authoritarian enclaves hin
dered the emergence of full-flown democracy. A carefully designed insti
tutional system of checks and balances made it clear that, even if the mili
tary were not to remain in power, the constitutional order would protect
private property and consolidate a neoliberal economic model (Huneeus
2007; Cavallo et al. 1997yf Yet because even custom-made shoes bind (Barros 2002yf the constitu
tional order masterminded to perpetuate the military in power provided an opportunity for the opposition to bring about democracy (Aylwin 1998;
Zald?var Larrain 1995; Boeninger 1997yf After an economic crisis in 1982
forced the government to open some political room for the opposition and
social protests threatened the stability of the regime, democratic political
parties seized the opportunity provided for in the constitution and forced
the government into a plebiscite to decide on a new eight-year presidential
period for Pinochet.
Although the plebiscite was held under conditions that favored Pi
nochet, on October 5, 1988, Chileans rejected him. Democratic elections
were held in 1989, and democracy returned in March 1990. Yet because
Pinochet was defeated within a constitutional framework of his choosing, the cost of forcing him to step down was that the opposition to Pinochet
acquiesced to the institutional order entrenched in the Constitution (Love man 1994,1991; Ensalaco 1994,1995; Heiss and Navia 2007yf A set of consti
tutional reforms the dictatorship proposed was approved in a plebiscite in
mid-1989. True, the Concertaci?n asked for more comprehensive reforms
(Andrade Gey witz 1991; Aylwin et al. 1985; Geisse and Ram?rez 1989yf But
its acquiescence to the reforms and the overwhelming majority support in
the plebiscite made it easier for the new democratic regime to take power
peacefully, and it legitimated the Constitution (Heiss and Navia 2007;
Loveman and Lira 2000; Portales 2000yf
When PDC member Patricio Aylwin became president, the Concertaci?n
government began to eliminate other authoritarian enclaves and adopted
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Figure 1 GDP Growth, Chile and Latin America, 1960-2009
Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators, and selected data from Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean.
reforms to reduce rampant poverty levels. With 38.7 percent of Chileans
living in poverty, and one in every three of those in extreme poverty
(Ministerio de Planificaci?n 2006yf the new government was hard pressed to show tangible results. Widespread poverty and social and economic
exclusion could trigger an authoritarian regression or democratic instabil
ity (Aylwin 1998; Meiler 2005yf Thus, democracy to the extent possible?
though never formally stated?became the guiding principle for the tran
sition under Aylwin and democratic consolidation under his successors.
As figure 1 shows, Chile's journey of economic development and prog ress was a frustrating experience. Plagued by endemic hyperinflation and
particularly sensible to the economic cycle, with years of rapid growth followed by stagnation, Chile's economy underperformed Latin America
in the 1960-1973 period. Although the violent overthrow of Allende and
the authoritarian sequel are inexcusable, the 1973 coup also symbolized the failure of Chile's old democracy to deliver economic growth, develop
ment, and social inclusion.
But history began to change dramatically after the deep 1982 recession.
Although Chile performed below the Latin American average in the years before 1984, the following twenty-six years have seen Chile outperform its
Latin American neighbors in economic growth. Starting in 1984?under
military rule?the economy began to expand robustly. Under the four
multiparty, center-left Concertaci?n coalition administrations of Aylwin
(1990-1994yf PDC Eduardo Frei (1994-2000yf Party for Democracy (Partido
por la Democracia, or PPDyf Ricardo Lagos (2000-2006yf and Socialist Mi
chelle Bachelet (2006-2010yf Chile experienced its longest run of economic
growth and poverty reduction. As such, economic growth has strength
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ened democracy. Moreover, the Concertaci?n would argue, it has also fos
tered it.
CHILE SINCE THE TRANSITION
When Pinochet left power on March 11, 1990, Chile was a society ap
propriately characterized as a nation of enemies (Constable and A. Va
lenzuela 1991yf The country advanced toward democratic restoration
constrained by an authoritarian constitution and informally limited by the former dictator, who remained as chief of the army (Ensalaco 1995;
Ag?ero 1998; Huneeus 2007; Barros 2002; Loveman 1994,1991yf The coun
try had deep wounds inflicted by high poverty and inequality. The defeat of Pinochet in 1988 opened the road toward democracy. When President Bachelet completed her mandate in 2010, the Concer
taci?n completed twenty years in power, the longest duration of any coali
tion since the adoption of universal suffrage. The Concertaci?n's initial
goal was to secure a smooth transition to democracy. The Concertaci?n's
first president, Patricio Aylwin, sought to deal with pending issues (e.g., human rights abusesyf and launched an aggressive drive to build demo
cratic institutions and overpower the institutional constraints Pinochet
left behind (Loveman 1991, 1994; Heiss and Navia 2007; Ensalaco 1994,
1995; Cavallo 1998; Rojo 1995; Otano 1995yf Because Chile had suffered
two dramatic economic crises under the dictatorship in 1974-1975 and
1982-1983 (see figure 1yf and unemployment was widespread, the Aylwin
government prioritized a growth-inducing and poverty-reducing eco
nomic policy. For democracy to flourish, the government had to better
distribute economic growth. Thus, although the Concertaci?n realized
that by not seeking to abolish some authoritarian legacies and enclaves
right away the new institutions of democracy would consolidate and gain
legitimacy?including nonappointed senators, the powerful National Se
curity Council, and a tutelary role for the military?the Aylwin admin
istration favored economic development and poverty reduction rather
than institutional change (Boeninger 1997, 2007; Aylwin 1998yf Figure 2
shows that the strategy proved successful. Unemployment decreased, the
economy grew rapidly, and inflation was brought under control after in
creased government spending by the dictatorship in 1988 and 1989 had
provoked a spike. Because of Aylwin's success, the Concertaci?n easily won the 1993 pres idential elections. Frei continued with the same social market economic
policies during his six-year tenure. By the time Lagos became the third
Concertaci?n president in 2000, the center-left coalition had become insep arable from a market-friendly economic model. The Concertaci?n proved that democracy would not inevitably lead to polarization and social up heaval. As figure 2 shows, after twenty years in power, the Concertaci?n
This content downloaded from 131.94.103.244 on Thu, 13 Mar 2014 10:14:45 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions 304 Latin American Research Review
Inflation A Unemployment .il.Growth
Figure 2 Selected Economic Indicators for Chile, 1960-2009
Source: World Banks, World Development Indicators, and selected data from CEPAL and Bard?n M., Camilo Carrasco, and Alvaro Vial (1985yf Inflation for the 1973-1979 period was 362 percent, 505 percent, 375 percent, 212 percent, 92 percent, 40 percent, and 33 per cent, respectively.
has done exceptionally well bringing about economic growth, reducing
inflation, and producing the conditions for more and better employ ment. Chileans living in poverty decreased from 38.6 percent in 1990 to
27.7 percent in 1994. Although the economic growth experienced since 1985
explains part of that reduction, a tax reform brokered with the Alianza
in the opposition-controlled Senate allowed Aylwin access to fresh re
sources to combat poverty. Because the 1980 Constitution provided for
the outgoing regime to directly and indirectly appoint nine senators?
who transformed the Concertaci?n's 22-16 majority among elected seats
into a 25-22 seat majority for the opposition?the Concertaci?n could not
transform its commanding electoral majority into a majority in Congress.
Thus, it had to bargain for all reforms with the overrepresented conserva
tive opposition. Poverty reduction continued during the Frei and Lagos administrations. Although economic growth was less robust?as figure 2
shows?under Lagos than it was under Frei or Aylwin, the Concertaci?n
still succeeded in reducing poverty. Not surprisingly, Chileans rewarded the Concertaci?n with electoral
majorities in all contests held since 1989. The Concertaci?n won all four
presidential elections, five legislative elections, and five municipal elee
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tions held between 1989 and 2008. Democracy under the Concertaci?n has
resulted in increased welfare, better living conditions for all, less poverty, more social and political inclusion, and growing levels of participation. Indicators of civil and political liberties have also shown robust results
since the restoration of democracy (Stein et al. 2006; UN Development Pro
gramme 2005; Walker 2006; Lagos Escobar 2005yf
THE VIRTUAL CYCLE OF DEMOCRACY AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
Scholars have long argued about the causal relationship between de
mocracy and economic development (Przeworski et al. 2000yf Regardless of the initial causal link they advocate, scholars agree in that development and democracy are mutually reinforcing (Hagopian and Mainwaring
2005; Przeworski 2005; Lijphart 1990; O'Donnell 1999yf In Chile, economic
development and democratic consolidation occurred concurrently under
the Concertaci?n. As the Pinochet regime ended in 1990, the economy was
showing strong and dynamic growth. The 1988 plebiscite was held under
favorable economic conditions for the dictatorship. Yet the outgoing re
gime did not benefit electorally. When Aylwin won in 1989, the economy was growing at unprecedented levels. The sound fundamentals of Chile's
economy made it easier for Aylwin to focus on strengthening social policy and alleviating poverty. The rapid economic growth experienced during his tenure (7.8 percent annual averageyf and earmarked social programs helped reduce poverty
dramatically from 38.6 percent in 1990 to 27.6 percent in 1994. True, the
government privileged poverty reduction rather than tackling inequality. In fact, during the Aylwin and Frei administrations, inequality remained
stubbornly high and began to decrease only after 2000, under Lagos's ten
ure. Still, the reforms Aylwin first adopted set the country on an impres sive path of poverty reduction that made Chile a successful case of pov
erty alleviation in Latin America (Meiler 2005; Vega Fern?ndez 2007yf
Although Chile's results have been much better in reducing poverty than in fighting inequality, Concertaci?n governments successfully com
bined a market-friendly economic model with a strong emphasis on
poverty-alleviating programs. As table 1 shows, poverty has decreased
in every administration since 1990. Moreover, recent data also show that
inequality has also begun to decrease, as the Gini coefficient reached
0.54 in 2006. The policies that the Concertaci?n championed proved successful?as figure 1 and table 1 show?but were also electorally re
warding. In the 1993 presidential election, Frei obtained 58 percent of the
vote. Six years later, Lagos won a closely fought runoff election with 51.3
percent. That year, Chile experienced its first recession in fifteen years. Yet
Chileans rewarded the Concertaci?n, at least partially, because the center
left coalition had led a period of economic growth and democratic con
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Table 1 Poverty and Extreme Poverty in Chile, 1990-2006
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2003 2006 2009
Poverty 38.6 32.9 27.6 23.2 21.7 20.2 18.7 13.7 15.1
Extreme poverty3 13.0 9.0 7.6 5.8 5.6 5.6 4.7 3.2 3.7
Gini coefficient 0.57 .58 .58 .57 .58 0.57 0.55 0.54 0.55
Source: Encuesta Caracterizaci?n Socio-Econ?mica Nacional, 2006. aExtreme poverty is included in poverty.
solidation (Navia and Joignant 2000; Angell 2005; Garret?n 2000yf Then,
in 2005, President Bachelet gave the Concertaci?n its fourth consecutive
presidential victory with 53.5 percent in a runoff election. In 2010, after
twenty years in power, the Concertaci?n lost to the moderate right-wing candidate Sebasti?n Pinera. Although that election brought the right-wing
parties that had supported the military dictatorship back to power, Pi?era
himself is a moderate who opposed the Pinochet regime.
AUTHORITARIAN ENCLAVES
Democratic consolidation has faced significant hurdles. Several author
itarian enclaves that survived the 1989 reforms made it difficult for the
Concertaci?n to carry out its policies (Portales 2000; Garret?n 1999; Drake
and Jaksic 1999yf Although the Concertaci?n enjoyed majority support in
all parliamentary elections?as table 2 shows?nonelected senators, whom
the outgoing military regime appointed, stripped the Concertaci?n of its
electoral majority in the upper chamber. The nonelected senators gave the
right-wing opposition an effective veto power that constrained the Con
certaci?n beyond the already-strict limits of the 1980 Constitution.
Some scholars have also pointed to the electoral system as an addi
tional antimajoritarian constraint (Siavelis and A. Valenzuela 1997; Angeli
2003; J. S. Valenzuela 2005; Siavelis 2002yf Designed as an insurance mech
anism against an electoral defeat, the across-the-board two-seat propor tional representation system makes it difficult to transform an electoral
majority into a majority in Congress (Navia 2005yf The electoral system tends to favor large coalitions at the expense of smaller ones (particularly the Communist Partyyf As table 2 shows, the Alianza has systematically obtained a greater share of seats than its share of votes. To a lesser extent,
the Concertaci?n has also benefited. Critics of the system point to the fact
that smaller parties are left without representation (Huneeus 2006yf yet that cannot be considered antidemocratic. Single-member majoritarian
systems punish minority parties but are not antidemocratic.
The electoral system does have some clearly negative features, but they have more to do with the structure of incentives on the political system.
This content downloaded from 131.94.103.244 on Thu, 13 Mar 2014 10:14:45 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions Table 2 Vote and Seat Distribution in Congress in Chile for the Concertaci?n and Alianza Coalitions, 1989-2005
Alianza
Concertaci?n
Chamber of deputies
Senate
Chamber of deputies
Senate
Election year Votes (yb \f Seats (yb \f Votes (yb \f Seats (yb \fa Votes (yb \f Seats (yb \f
Votes (yb \f Seats (yb \fa
1989 1993 1997 2001 2005 2009
34.2 36.7 36.3 44.3 38.7 43.4
40.0 41.7 39.2 47.5 45.0 48.3
34.9 37.3 36.6 44.0 37.2 45.1
42.1 (52.3yf 50.0 (54.3yf 47.4 (51.1yf 50.0 (50.0yf 44.7b 50.0
51.5 55.4 50.5 47.9 51.8 44.4
57.5 58.3 57.5 51.2 51.7 47.5
54.6 55.5 49.9 51.3 55.7 43.3
57.9 (46,8yf 50.0 (45.7yf 52.6 (48.9yf 50.0 (50.0yf 52.6 50.0
Source: Compiled by author with data from
http://www.elecciones.gov.cl
and Engel and Navia (2005yf
including
nonelected
senators.
bNot including one senator elected as independent.
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Because the two large coalitions tend to equally split the two seats in more
than 95 percent of the districts, voters end up having little to say on the
seat distribution in Congress. In every district, voters can decide only which candidate from each coalition will get the seat, but a 60 percent 40 percent vote advantage for one coalition will produce exactly the same
one-to-one seat divide than a 40 percent-60 percent vote distribution. The
lack of competition embedded in the system undermines one of the es
sential components of democracy, competitive elections.
As table 2 shows, the electoral system has not severely underrepre sented the Concertacion's vote share (Zueco 2007yf The presence of des
ignated senators certainly distorted seat allocation in the Senate until a
constitutional reform eliminated their posts in 2005. Nonetheless, because
the outgoing regime imposed the electoral system, it remains the most
symbolic pending authoritarian enclave. A set of constitutional reforms
passed under President Lagos in 2005 eliminated most remaining authori
tarian enclaves, but there was a lack of agreement on how to replace the
binominal system. The Concertaci?n favored a more proportional repre sentation system that would allow the Communist Party to gain seats in
Congress, but the Alianza defended the binominal system. In the debate
over electoral reform in recent years, there are good arguments in favor
of and against a more proportional representation system (Fontaine, Lar
roulet, Viera-Gallo et al. 2007; Altman 2005; J. S. Valenzuela 2006; Aninat
and Navia 2005; Huneeus 2006yf Yet the binominal system should be con
sidered an authoritarian enclave because of its origin, not because of its
effects.
No other authoritarian enclaves remain in the 1980 Constitution. There
are areas in which more democratic reforms could be implemented?such as the direct election of regional intendentes or voting rights for those re
siding abroad?but all remaining authoritarian enclaves were eliminated
in 2005. It is certain that Chile has pending issues in dealing with its com
plex human rights legacy (Roht-Arriaza 2006; Baxter 2005; Aguilar 2002;
Bacie 2002yf New human rights concerns have emerged as well (Espejo
2008yf But all democracies have such issues. The fact that they are part of
public debate signals the health of the democratic process. Other issues associated with democratic institutional design, such as
the influence, scope, and powers of the constitutional tribunal; reform of
the party system (Fontaine, Larroulet, Navarrete et al. 2008yf campaign finance reform (Vald?s Prieto 2000yf and balance of powers between the
executive and the legislative (Linz et al. 1990; Burgos and Walker 2003yf also pertain to normal democratic consolidation debates. True, some
have questioned the legitimacy of a democracy built on a constitution
designed by an authoritarian government (Cristi and Ruiz-Tagle 2006yf but even those critics acknowledge that Chile today has a full-fledged
democracy.
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DEMOCRATIC CONSOLIDATION AND PRESIDENTIAL APPROVAL
When democracy was restored to Chile, the new government needed
to help strengthen and consolidate democracy. The very presence of Au
gusto Pinochet, who remained as head of the army until March 1998, sym bolized the limits under which Aylwin had to secure a transition to dem
ocratic rule. High growth, low inflation, and poverty reduction helped
Aylwin keep high approval ratings. Chileans were satisfied with the di
rection of the country. In early 1990, Aylwin could count on a comfortably
high level of support, as figure 3 shows. More than 70 percent of Chileans
approved of his administration, greater than his 55.2 percent vote share
in the election. However, as figure 3 shows, by mid-1992, his approval had
fallen to less than 50 percent. Still, Aylwin's tenure was successful. The
country recovered democracy and kept the economy growing at a healthy
rate, with inflation under control, unemployment falling, and hundreds of
thousands getting out of poverty.
Aylwin's successor, Eduardo Frei, came to office with the greatest vote
share in Chilean history. The son of a former president, Frei received
58 percent of the vote, more than twice that of the Alianza presidential candidate. Yet Frei enjoyed a very short honeymoon, in part because he
did not benefit from the political capital Aylwin had as the first democrati
cally elected president but also in part because of his own leadership style.
Although there was strong economic growth, Frei saw his approval fall to
less than 40 percent. Before the midterm 1997 elections, his disapproval
rating was greater than his approval rating. Then, as the economy experi enced a downturn in 1998-1999, Frei's approval fell to less than 30 percent and his disapproval climbed to almost 50 percent. Ricardo Lagos, the first socialist president since Salvador Allende, won
a highly contested election in 2000. In addition, the former dictator Pi
100
# Approves - Ml Disapproves A1 Neither
Figure 3 Presidential Approval in Chile, 1990-2009
Source: Author's calculation with data from http://www.cepchile.cl.
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nochet, who retired from the army in 1998 to take a lifetime seat in the
Senate, was arrested in London in October 1998 on charges of crimes
against humanity committed during his time in power. With his arrest,
the fundamentals of Chilean democracy were put to a test and proved
strong. Most Chileans went about their own business as a long and com
plicated legal battle between those who sought to bring Pinochet back
to the country and those who wanted to see him tried went on between
October 1998 and March 2000, when Pinochet was sent back to Chile on
humanitarian grounds.
Alleging that crimes committed in Chile must be tried in Chile, the
Concertaci?n government sought to secure Pinochet's return and use the
arrest to improve on the insufficient progress that had been made to right the wrongs of the past (Acu?a 2006; Baxter 2005; Lira and Loveman 2005;
Loveman and Lira 2000yf In the end, Pinochet was returned to Chile, and
though he was tried, he was never sentenced for human rights violations.
Yet the arrest in London allowed human rights issues to move forward as
Frei mustered a mesa de di?logo (roundtableyf with the military and human
rights victims that produced a report that built on the significant progress
initially made by the Rettig Commission on Truth and Reconciliation, cre
ated in 1990 under Aylwin. President Lagos also launched initiatives to
advance transitional justice and reparation. The Valech Commission on
Torture investigated human rights violations that did not result in deaths.
Most recently, President Bachelet, who herself is a victim of human rights
violations, actively participated in symbolic acts of reparation. However,
human rights activists correctly contend that insufficient progress has
been made, as well-known human rights violators have never been sen
tenced. Although many crimes have been investigated and there have
been reparations, critics contend that the Concertaci?n could have done
more to right the wrongs of the past (Lira and Loveman 2005yf
Support for Concertaci?n presidents remained strong even after the
Concertaci?n lost the January 2010 runoff election. As figure 3 shows,
presidents enjoyed more approval than disapproval for most of the
twenty-year Concertaci?n tenure. Only Frei and Bachelet saw their disap
proval rates surpass their approval numbers. Frei experienced negative
approval in 1999 in the midst of an economic recession, and Bachelet's
approval numbers fell as a result of the failed implementation of a new
transportation system in Santiago, the Transantiago, in 2007. Toward the
end of her administration, her approval increased dramatically to the
highest levels observed in Chile since democracy had been restored. Yet
Chileans are satisfied with their democracy. In addition to presidential
approval, the Latinobar?metro poll showed that 54 percent considered de
mocracy the only legitimate form of government in 1996. Although there
have been fluctuations over time (and Latinobar?metro slightly changed its methodologyyf in 2006, the figure was 56 percent and 46 percent in 2007.
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0 -.-.-.-:
1973 1975 1977 1979 1981 1963 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007
_ chile ???Latin America
Figure 4 Restrictions on Civil Liberties in Chile and Latin America
(Freedom House Indexyf
Source: Freedom House. The higher the value, the more restrictions there are on civil liberties.
0-.-?
1973 1975 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007
? Chile -Latin America
Figure 5 Restrictions on Political Right in Chile and Latin America
(Freedom House Indexyf
Source: Freedom House. The higher the value, the more restrictions there are on civil liberties.
Support for authoritarian government has stayed below 15 percent. Thus,
temporary dissatisfaction with democracy has not increased support for
alternative types of government (Latinobar?metro 2007, 2008yf
Satisfaction with democracy results from real progress made in eco
nomic development but also from progress in civil and political rights. As
figure 4 shows, Chile has experienced significant progress in protection of
civil rights. The Freedom House Index of Civil Liberties shows that restric
tions to civil liberties increased under the dictatorship but quickly began to decline after 1990. Although Chile had more civil liberties restrictions
than average for Latin American countries during the seventeen-year-old
dictatorship, in the new democratic period, Chile has scored systemati
cally better than Latin America overall. In fact, Chile reached the lowest
possible level of restrictions to civil liberties in 2002 and has remained at
the best possible standing in respect for civil liberties and political rights
(see figure 5yf
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The quality of Chile's democracy is far superior than that observed
before 1973. The institutional setting is more consolidated, and there is
more transparency and accountability in campaign funding, government
spending, lobbying, and interest groups' influence of the government and
access to government information. Although there are areas in which
there has not been sufficient progress, such as plurality in the printed me
dia (Dermota 2002yf or influence by citizens' rights groups and unionized
workers (Posner 2003; Winn 2004; Oxhorn 1995; Roberts 1998; Olavarria
2003yf the depth and reach of Chile's democracy in the post-Pinochet era
is commendably superior to that which existed before the authoritarian
period.
ELECTORAL PARTICIPATION
Representative democracy is based on electoral participation. When a
society exhibits decreasing levels of participation, there are reasons for us
to be concerned. As table 3 shows, Chile has experienced varying degrees of electoral participation since women first voted in presidential elections
in 1952. Although only one in every three voting-age Chileans cast ballots
in the 1958 presidential election, rapid enfranchisement almost doubled
that number in the 1964 presidential contest. In 1970, when Allende was
elected president, voter turnout decreased slightly, whereas in 1973, the
last election before the dictatorship, almost 70 percent of voting-age Chil
eans cast valid votes.
After a fifteen-year interruption, interest in political participation was
at its highest. Slightly less than 90 percent of eligible Chileans went to the
polls in 1988, a record-breaking turnout. There was much at stake in the
plebiscite, a momentous opportunity to shape the future of the nation. As
table 3 shows, electoral participation has decreased constantly since 1988,
with presidential elections attracting more voters than other contests.
Yet in the most recent presidential election, in 2009, only 62 percent of
voting-age Chileans cast valid votes, the lowest since 1970. Several reasons
explain the apparent falling interest in the political process. Naturally, it
would have been foolish to expect the same high turnout levels reached
in 1988.
The fall in electoral participation should not be discarded as an irrel
evant factor. Decreasing interest in the political process might mean that
people are fully satisfied, but there is enough evidence that the lack of
interest responds to discontent with politicians and dissatisfaction with
politics. Some observers have pointed to a certain malaise with democ
racy, as the political system is insufficiently responsive to the demands
and needs of citizens. Yet the problem is more nuanced than that. Table 3
also shows that, when measured as percentage of registered voters, elec
toral participation has remained remarkably stable and high since 1988.
This content downloaded from 131.94.103.244 on Thu, 13 Mar 2014 10:14:45 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions Table 3 Electoral Participation in Chile, 1960-2005
Year
Voting age of
population
Registered
voters
Voters
Valid votes
Nulls, blanks,
abstentions
and unregistered
Voters/ registered (yb \f
Valid votes/
voting age population (yb \f
1958 1964 1970 1973 1988 1989 1992 1993 1996 1997 1999 2000 2001 2004 2005 2008 2009
3.654
4.088 5.202 5.238 8.062 8.243 8.775 8.951 9.464 9.627 9.945 10.100 10.500 10.700 10.800 12.066 12.226
1.497 2.915 3.540 4.510 7.436 7.558 7.841 8.085
8.073 8.078
8.084 8.089
8.075 8.013
8.221 8.110 8.285
1.250 2.530 2.955 3.687 7.251 7.159 7.044 7.377 7.079 7.046 7.272 7.019
6.992 6.874 7.207 6.959 7.186
1.236
2.512
2.923 3.620 7.187 6.980 6.411 6.969 6.301
5.796 7.055
6.452 6.107 6.123 6.942 6.362 6.938
2.418 1.576
2.279
1.620 889 1.344 2.345 1.848
3.085 3.746
2.890
3.648
4.393 4.577
3.758 5.704 5.284
83.5 86.8 83.5 81.8 96,6 92,3 81,9 84,3 76,6 71,1 90,0 86,8 86,6 85.8 87.7 85.8 83.7
33.8 61.6 56.2 69.1 89,1 84,6 73,2 75,8 65,3 59,6 70,1 63,9 58,2 57.2 64.3 52,7 56.7
Notes: Based on Navia (2004byf data from
http://www.ine.cl and http://www.elecciones.gov.cl. Figures are in millions.
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Nine of every ten registered voters cast ballots in each of the five presi dential elections held since 1989. Among those registered, participation is
fairly high?though there are no real penalties for those who fail to vote.
Yet a growing number of people are not registered to vote. Thus, the real
unique electoral participation phenomenon has to do with a flawed insti
tutional design. The Constitution formally makes voting mandatory, yet in practice, registration is optional. To be eligible to vote, Chileans must
first register. Ever after, they are legally compelled to vote, though penal ties are seldom applied to those who abstain.
If registered, Chileans vote. Turnout among registered voters has con
sistently remained at 90 percent or higher. Yet younger Chileans?those
who turned eighteen after 1988?are registered at lower rates. A natural
solution would be to adopt automatic registration and hope that, when
registered, voters will vote. Because the deadline for registration expires
ninety days before an election, it is plausible that many unregistered Chil
eans who become interested in the political process during the official
thirty-day campaign cannot vote. Polling data shows no difference in the
depth and intensity of political views between those registered and those
not registered. A fierce debate over the mandatory nature of voting has blocked a seem
ingly trivial reform to make registration automatic. Presidents Lagos and
Bachelet advocated for automatic registration and nonmandatory voting, but some Concertaci?n legislators oppose eliminating mandatory voting.
Right-wing legislators oppose automatic registration because of possible electoral fraud. Because Concertaci?n governments historically linked
electoral registration reform with a reform that would grant suffrage to
Chileans residing abroad, the somewhat odd combination of mandatory
voting and optional electoral registration has survived.
Low levels of electoral participation should constitute a warning. Chile's
democracy is healthy but not invulnerable. In fact, the lack of participa
tion, particularly among youths, hints to future problems of legitimacy. When people do not consider electoral participation the best mechanism
for expressing their discontent or dissatisfaction, they will eventually use
other means to channel their demands and frustration. Unless the politi cal elite agree on reforms that can foster electoral participation, the future
of Chilean democracy might not be as bright as its present.
SURVIVAL OF THE THREE-WAY SPLIT?
Historically, a strong and permanent three-way split (right, center, and
leftyf has defined political preferences in Chile. The dictatorship polarized the political system and voters as the center and left united to bring about
democracy. The Concertaci?n's success was associated with the ability of
centrist and leftist parties to put differences aside and govern effectively.
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45
OOi-rNCVinn^^inW(D(DSS00Oai0>OOi-i-NNC0nt^mUJ?yf W ' 1 6 & " \f0yf yf >a yf yf D ! > > yf D \f yf a> yf yf > a> c?c?coc?c?c?c?c?c?c?co
MBH None ? Right -??Center Ji Left
Figure 6 Self-Identification with Right, Center, and Left, 1990-2010
Source: Author's calculation with data from http://www.cepchile.cl.
Yet as figure 6 shows, the three-way divide does not fully capture electoral
preferences today. Those who do not identify with right-wing, centrist, or
leftist political parties are at an all-time high. Numbers of centrist sym
pathizers have fallen significantly since 1990. Although the left and right have experienced ups and downs, falling support for the center will likely weaken the electoral domination of the Concertaci?n. Those who identify with the center or the left are no longer a solid majority among Chileans.
Thus, elections are clearly more competitive?which is also a sign of a
healthy democracy?than they were during the early 1990s.
TOP-DOWN AND BOTTOM-UP DEMOCRACY
The arrival of Bachelet to the presidency in March 2006 represented a
political sea change. Beyond being a successful combination of change
(first woman presidentyf and continuity (fourth Concertaci?n presidentyf Bachelet championed bottom-up mechanisms of democracy as she identi
fied participatory democracy as a defining characteristic of leftist poli tics. As opposed to the top-down approach that characterized previous Concertaci?n governments, Bachelet promised to establish participatory
democracy. Although the long-term effects of her initiatives aimed to
strengthen a citizen government (gobierno ciudadanoyf are yet to be known,
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Bachelet added a new dimension to the ongoing debate on consolidating and strengthening democracy. As she campaigned as an outsider, the bad reputation of political par ties did not affect Bachelet. She attracted voters who had historically been
reluctant to support leftist candidates. Men have traditionally supported candidates of the center-left more strongly than have women. In 1999,
Lagos won 54.3 percent of the vote among men and 48.7 percent among women voters. Yet in 2005, Bachelet captured 53.3 percent among women
and 53.7 percent among men. Bachelet was also the favorite candidate
among those who did not identify with the existing parties and coalitions
(29 percent of those polled in November 2005yf Bachelet's (2006byf campaign focused on strengthening the social safety net. In promising to overhaul the private pension funds system, Bachelet
sought to keep the fundamentals of the economic model and to introduce
instruments that would allow the government to play a more active role as
regulator and to foster redistribution. In addition, her policy initiatives in
cluded preschool reforms to increase coverage and subsidize low-income
families, a set of reforms to foster more innovation and entrepreneurship in business, and improvements in the quality of life in urban areas. The
four points of her platform sought to "construct a more humane environ
ment and to promote a wider conception of human development" (Bache let 2005byf Consistent with that approach, Bachelet also made participatory democ
racy a priority. She promised during her campaign that her government would introduce gender parity in top governmental posts and promised new faces in key positions (Bachelet 2005byf As she stressed that her presi dential bid was the result of her popularity among the people, Bachelet
made clear that she wanted to increase popular participation and reduce
the influence of party elites (Siavelis 2006; Bachelet 2006byf She emphasized the distinction between the left-wing and right-wing parties as resulting from a focus on the safety net and participation. For her, left-wing parties had to promote participation, and they cared about those the economy left
behind (Bachelet 2004, 2005b, 2006b; Insunza and Ortega 2005yf In the campaign, Bachelet attempted to campaign as a citizen's candi
date. In an interview in El Mercurio on December 25, 2005, she defended
her emphasis on a "citizen's campaign": "My idea was a more participa
tory democracy. But I always worked with political parties. What I did not
do was to tour Chile with leaders from all parties. I always said I was not
a candidate chosen between four closed walls, but that I had a life experi ence and work record that people valued."
In celebrating her victory in the first round on December 11, 2005, she
referred to herself as "continuity and change" (Bachelet 2005ayf But she
stressed that she would distinguish herself from the outgoing Lagos ad
ministration on building a safety net and promoting more citizens' par
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ticipation. In a speech to the Socialist Party on August 20, 2005, Bachelet
defended her focus on participatory democracy: "Chile wants participa tion. Thus, my citizens' dialogue initiatives" (Bachelet 2005cyf Hers would
be the, as she called it, gobierno de ciudadanos (a citizen's governmentyf She
claimed that good standing in polls, not favor with party elites, was the
reason for her candidacy. Her campaign sought to promote a bottom-up, nontechnocratic approach. In her government program I Am with You (Estoy Contigoyf Bachelet
(2005byf outlined some ideas for making democracy more participatory. In a section titled "Quality of Democracy," the document outlining the
program promised to "promote a reform to introduce citizens' legislative initiative in all those areas that are not the exclusive legislative initiative of
the president like those that affect taxes or international treaties.... Citi
zens will have the same legislative prerogatives as their representatives:
deputies and senators" (Bachelet 2005b, 74yf To be sure, although many liked the idea that citizens be allowed to introduce legislation, the Con
stitution currently gives the president sole power to introduce legislation on government spending (Siavelis 2000; Baldez and Carey 1999yf The Con
stitution also allows the executive to control the legislative agenda. Many have called for reforms to strengthen the legislative branch and reduce the
excessive power of the president (Fontaine, Larroulet, Viera-Gallo et al.
2007; Walker 2006; Linz et al. 1990yf Thus, introducing mechanisms for a
popular legislative initiative would empower citizens while sidestepping
Congress, a measure that would probably be counterproductive. The program also promised to "develop mechanisms of participatory
budgets that allow for citizens to express their voice and exert influence
over spending priorities" (Bachelet 2005b, 82yf The idea of promoting par
ticipation and associating democracy with higher levels of participation ran through the entire document. The introductory section succinctly summarized the assumption that democracy entails participation: "Chil
eans ... want to have more regional and local identity, more decentraliza
tion of power, authorities that are close to them and more participation. None of these occur automatically in a globalized market economy. We
must correct that model" (Bachelet 2005b, 8yf
Although participation and democracy were directly associated with
each other throughout the document, the government program had few
and scattered references to improving representative democracy. It dis
cussed representation together with gender quotas for legislative elections
and with increasing the number of women in government positions. In
other places, representation was mentioned with respect to the electoral
system. The government program focused on improving and deepening
participatory democracy rather than on improving representative democ
racy. Naturally, representative and participatory democracy are not neces
sarily mutually exclusive. But given the widely agreed-on shortcomings
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of representative democracy in Chile, the stronger focus on participatory
democracy signaled Bachelet's priorities. In her first speech as president, she stated, "I also want my administra
tion to govern without hiding from the people. I want them to consult
with the people. I believe citizens have a lot to contribute with to help us
make the right decisions_I have already indicated that we will promul
gate a series of initiatives promoting citizen participation in issues that
they consider important" (Bachelet 2006cyf Tellingly, later that day, she did
not mention political parties or the Concertaci?n. A few weeks earlier,
Bachelet had irritated political parties by ignoring them in her most im
portant ministerial appointments. Because she kept her promise of gender
parity and proved good on her promise to bring in new faces?and leave
out former ministers of Concertaci?n governments?the four parties that
constitute the Concertaci?n expressed their discontent. As a result, when
pushing for a citizen's government, Bachelet inevitably confronted that
new concept with the old government of political parties that had charac
terized previous Concertaci?n administrations.
The idea of a citizen's government was not popular in Bachelet's ad
ministration. In fact, upon taking office, Bachelet issued a detailed list of
thirty-six measures for her first one hundred days. None of the measures
referred to participatory or citizen's democracy. The only two measures
related to improving the quality of democracy were squarely placed in
the context of representative democracy: a change to the two-seat pro
portional representation electoral system (called binominal in Chileyf and
automatic registration for all eligible voters (Bachelet 2006byf Nonethe
less, in her public speeches, Bachelet insisted on the idea of participatory and citizen's democracy. In her first annual report to Congress on May 21,
2006, she stressed the point: "This is the government of and for citizens"
(Bachelet 2006ayf In her second annual report to Congress, in 2007, she
restated her commitment to participatory democracy: "Decentralization,
regions and municipalities are a fundamental part of our aspiration to
have a more participatory and citizen's democracy" (Bachelet 2007yf She
abandoned the idea in her third annual report to Congress in 2008.
Bachelet did not have a comprehensive plan to introduce bottom-up democratic mechanisms. Although during the campaign she expressed a preference for referenda and plebiscites, her government did not send
legislative proposals to Congress. Because the Concertaci?n and her
government did not all agree on how to promote participation, Bachelet
encountered resistance when improvising ideas for the fostering of par
ticipatory democracy. For example, when Bachelet suggested in mid-2006
that a plebiscite be held on reforming the controversial electoral system, she was widely criticized for undermining ongoing negotiations between
political parties.
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Bachelet found her commitment to the idea seriously challenged when
students took to the streets in mid-2006 to demand more equal access to
education. The government was slow to react. Streets were filled for days with students and others, in protest against inequality in education and
eventually complaining of the government's slow response. Because her
coalition had been in power since 1990, Bachelet's government could not
easily blame previous administrations for the shortcomings in education.
Eventually, Bachelet fired several ministers, including the minister of the
interior. Her first cabinet reshuffle, only four months after she took of
fice, pretty much buried the idea of participatory democracy. Shortly after
the protests, the government abandoned the rhetoric in favor of popular
participation. The students' protests in 2006 turned public opinion against the idea
of popular participation. Her critics found it easy to associate popular
participation with protests, destruction, and lawlessness. Inevitably, the
commendable objective of strengthening civil society was associated
with a soft hand that would bring about street demonstrations and would
eventually end up undermining democracy. Because Bachelet had spoken about participatory democracy, the students' demonstrations opened a
window for debate on contrasting definitions of democracy. Inevitably, by
contrasting participatory and representative democracy, the idea that the
former can be complementary to?and a necessary supplement for?the
latter was undermined.
Successful democracies are based on representative democracy. It
would be foolish to suggest that participatory democracy can replace
representative democracy. When we vote, at least conceptually, we are all
equal. When we participate, inequality is the norm. Some people have
more financial resources (and can thus make their voices be heard more
loudlyyf others have more time (and can thus march in the streetsyf Still
others can throw rocks or make noise. Not surprisingly, students tend to
have more success and more impact in street marches, whereas the elderly are probably better at organizing their peers to turn out on Election Day.
Pregnant women and single mothers are less likely to find the time to
organize a street demonstration. We all participate according to the tools
and resources we have.
Thus, replacing representative democracy with participatory democ
racy would seem contradictory with equality. To address the problems of
representative democracy, it would make more sense to elect authorities
who will govern to defend our interests than to attempt to collectively
govern ourselves. Yet securing that authorities will defend our interests,
fulfill their promises, and govern transparently is not an easy task. For
that reason, mechanisms of accountability are crucial for representative
democracy to work well. Indeed, they are associated with the strength
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ening of participatory democracy. People participate when they exercise
accountability over elected authorities. Introducing mechanisms of ac
countability that make representative democracy work better can foster
participation. As Bachelet's rise to power and popular discourse against established
party elites showed, representative democracy is not working well. Lack
of competition, insufficient transparency, and lack of accountability have
unquestionably undermined representative democracy. Because the short
comings of representative democracy are well known (Engel and Navia
2006; J. S. Valenzuela 2006; Portales 2000; Huneeus 2006yf the election of
Bachelet was an excellent opportunity to reduce the Chilean democracy's excessive dependence on top-down approaches. Bachelet rightly sought to
introduce more mechanisms of participation, bottom-up democracy. The
fact that Bachelet campaigned on a platform of inclusion and that her elec
tion itself symbolized inclusion created an opportunity to strengthen de
mocracy through more participatory instruments. During the campaign, women regularly wore presidential sashes at Bachelet's rallies. But after
the students' protests and the Transantiago incident, Bachelet adopted the
more traditional Concertaci?n-style top-down approach to government. The fact that Concertaci?n parties felt uneasy about more popular par
ticipation partly led them to collaborate more with Bachelet's government when she abandoned her participatory democracy agenda. Bachelet's symbolic departure from participatory democracy also in
cluded gender parity. During the campaign, she committed herself to
honoring gender parity in her cabinet (ten of the twenty cabinet ministers
she first appointed were womenyf In part, President Lagos had first cham
pioned that initiative when he appointed five women to his first sixteen
member cabinet in 2000. Bachelet was among those women appointed. Yet as president, Bachelet went further in adopting initiatives to promote
gender parity and promised to introduce legislation to provide for gender
quotas in Congress. When she reshuffled her cabinet for a second time in
early 2007, she abandoned that principle (in the new twenty-two member
cabinet, there were nine womenyf Yet she successfully introduced the issue
of gender equality as a permanent item on the public agenda. There is no
longer gender parity in the cabinet, but still we are not likely to see gov ernments like those in the early 1990s, when only one woman was a part of a twenty-two-member cabinet. Lagos had appointed more women to
higher posts, but Bachelet's commitment to gender equity will make it dif
ficult for future presidents to ignore women when appointing key posts. After reforms to the pension system came into effect in mid-2008,
Bachelet delivered on her promise to create a stronger safety net. True, the success in building a stronger and more comprehensive safety net for
all Chileans depends largely on the future performance of the economy. If the economy grows sustainably, a stronger safety net will exist for those
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Chileans who fall behind. The fate of some of the participatory democracy initiatives she promised to introduce is less auspicious. The idea of creat
ing a citizens' democracy seems to have a tougher road ahead.
Yet the fate of participatory, bottom-up democracy seems more prob lematic. Institutional changes that promote participatory democracy were
not implemented during Bachelet's administration and are not a priority for Pi?era's center-right government, inaugurated in March 2010. Even if
the executive were to push for them, no significant reforms that incor
porate participatory budgets, popular legislative initiatives, or plebiscites would be likely to gather support in Congress to be made into laws. Strict
gender parity is unlikely to reemerge as a political priority in the coming
years. Yet by setting new precedents, the position of women in society is
significantly stronger now that Bachelet has completed her four-year term.
Finally, the fate of the renewal in the Concertaci?n seems less likely after
it lost power in early 2010. Because Bachelet remains as the Concertaci?n's
most popular leader, the old promise of new faces embodied by her rise
to power has turned sour. Bachelet is now yet another example that the
Concertaci?n's old guard makes it difficult to renewal within to take place. Bachelet successfully initiated a debate between those who favor the
traditional top-down approach to democracy that characterized the Con
certaci?n during its three first governments and those inclined to more
bottom-up mechanisms of democracy. Future governments will be hard
pressed to develop strategies to introduce more bottom-up mechanisms of
participation and accountability. Moreover, if the demand for more par
ticipation that helped explain Bachelet's rise to power persists, one of the
most significant legacies of her administration will be the push for more
mechanisms of participatory democracy. Even if Bachelet does not suc
ceed herself in introducing such mechanisms, she brought participatory and bottom-up democracy squarely to the center of the debate on demo
cratic consolidation in Chile.
people's priorities
Since the restoration of democracy, Chileans have shown that they value democracy. They have also increasingly become more of protago nists as their demands for bottom-up mechanisms of participation have
challenged the traditional top-down democratic practices that character
ized the transition in the early 1990s. Figure 7 shows rankings of public
opinion for government priorities over time. With the restoration of de
mocracy, crime quickly became a leading concern. More than 60 percent of Chileans considered combating crime one of the three most important
priorities for the government in 1990. Yet as democracy consolidated, con
cern with crime?which is also identified with uncertainty and fear the
transition to democracy provoked?started to decline. Not surprisingly,
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Poverty Employment yf Crime .m.Inflation
Figure 7 Top Three Government Priorties, Selected Items, 1990-2010
Source: Author's calculation with data from http://www.cepchile.cl.
20
10
0
Education ? Health . .Corruption j Housing
Figure 8 Top Three Government Priorties, Selected Items, 1990-2010
Source: Author's calculation with data from http://www.cepchile.cl.
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the 1999 economic crisis contributed to make employment creation a
government priority. Most recently, inflation has spiked?prices in 2008
showed the greatest increase in more than ten years.
Figure 8 shows other government priorities and the importance Chil
eans have attributed to them over the years. Concern with education, for
example, remained highly stable until 2006, when student protests cap tured the attention of the nation. Concern over health has decreased over
time, but remains the leading social priority for Chileans. Corruption and
housing, however, do not seem to be as important for Chileans. Interest
ingly enough, the media seems much more preoccupied with corruption than housing, despite the fact that public opinion attributes almost the
same importance to housing and corruption.
CONCLUSION
Since its transition to democracy in 1990, Chile has made significant
progress in economic development, poverty reduction, and democratic
consolidation. The country enjoys a consolidated democracy, as there is
no fear of reversal to authoritarianism. Chileans value democracy, and
autonomous institutions with a working balance of power have stabilized
the political system. Elections are the norm, and respect for individual
rights is widespread. Yet as in most democracies, Chile does face some
significant challenges. The successes of the past should generate some op timism about the country's ability to strengthen, broaden, and deepen its
democracy in the future. However, there are also some worrying signs. What proved successful in securing the transition and consolidating de
mocracy in the 1990s might not work in the next phase. Chile must come
up with a second generation of democratic reforms to meet the challenges of the future. As the country has just commemorated its bicentennial,
the success of its first two decades of postauthoritarian democracy have
generated high expectations about what the country can do in the future.
Moving forward in uncharted territory will not be easy, nor will it be in
evitably successful. Yet Chile today enjoys a strong, vibrant, and consoli
dated democracy more so than ever before in its history.
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