Please explain how you arrived at the answer.

  1. The table below illustrates the quarterly sales of swimsuits at a local retailer. Using the method shown in the text, calculate the forecast for quarter 2 in year 5.

Year

Quarter 1

Quarter 2

Quarter 3

Quarter 4

25

75

125

75

40

100

150

60

50

120

160

70

85

140

175

100

    1. 160

    2. 154

    3. 142

    4. 169


  1. The data in the table below shows the number of attendees at Husker Water Park. Develop a linear regression to for the number of attendees based on the forecast temperature. What would be the forecasted attendance with a forecasted temperature of 88 degrees?

Forecast Temperature

Attendance

60

10

65

15

70

25

80

50

90

75

95

100

    1. 70

    2. 65

    3. 80

    4. 75

  1. The table below illustrates the MAD, MAPD, and the MSE for 4 different forecasts. Which forecast method would be best to use moving forward?

Forecast Method

MAD

MAPD

MSE

Moving Average

27.2

9.60%

710

Weighted Moving Average

16.4

5.40%

354

Exponential Smoothing

30.7

10.20%

878

Regression

24.6

7.80%

576

    1. Moving Average

    2. Weighted Moving Average

    3. Exponential Smoothing

    4. Regression

2