Blue-eyed people are more likely to lose their expensive watches than are brown-eyed people.

Blue-eyed people are more likely to lose their expensive watches than are brown-eyed people. Specifically, there is an 80% probability that a blue- eyed individual will lose a $1000 watch during the year, but only a 20% probability that a brown-eyed individual will do so. In the population as a whole, half of the people are blue-eyed and half are brown-eyed.