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QUESTION

I'm having trouble (and a lot of doubts) interpreting ACF/PACF plots of both the sample and the r esiduals.

ACF/PACF plots of both the sample and the r

I can't upload the text but I can say that the time series of interest is the NASDAQ composite index which Figure 1 shows the raw (IXIC) and the first differenced (dIXIC) data together with the estimated autocorrelation and partial autocorrelation functions. An ARIMA(2,1,1) model has been fitted.

FIGURE 1:

FIGURE 2:

FIGURE 3:

My problems are: which model can I suggest that can improve the results?

What are the information that can give me the ACF plot of the residuals? What about the standardized residuals, the p-values and the squared residuals? (FIGURE 2 and 3)

Basically, what is the difference from consulting the ACF plot of the sample data vs. the ACF of the residuals? Do they give different information?

  • Attachment 1
  • Attachment 2
  • Attachment 3
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