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QUESTION

In the US, the probability that a child dies in the first year of life is 0. In a certain rural county, for a recent year, 950 infants were born.

In the US, the probability that a child dies in the first year of life is 0.0085.

In a certain rural county, for a recent year, 950 infants were born.

(For the sake of this exam, assume that these are all singleton births.)

18 of these infants died in their first year of life.

The county supervisors ask you if this indicates that the county's experience is different from that of the US population, if too many children are dying in their first year of life.

1. Explain what probability distribution you will use to assess these data, and exactly why. Discuss all relevant features and assumptions.

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