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# Just before a mayoral election a local newspaper polls 380 voters in an attempt to predict the winner.

Just before a mayoral election a local newspaper polls 380 voters in an attempt to predict the winner. Suppose that the candidate Johnny Comlatey has 53% of the votes among all voters in a two-way race. The probability that the newspaper's poll of 380 voters would predict Johnny Comlatey's opponent the winner is...?