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Let Pt be a random walk with increment E t , and let E t be i. normal with mean u and variance sigma 2 . Assume t 0 = 1. Derive the unconditional...
Let Pt be a random walk with increment Et, and let Et be i.i.d. normal with mean u and variance sigma2. Assume t0 = 1.
1. Derive the unconditional mean and variance of Pt.
2. Derive the conditional mean and variance of Pt given a value of Pt-1 = x.
3. Compare and contrast the behavior of the unconditional and conditional variance, as t --infinity .