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Statistics
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The option that offers the greatest expected return is the best investment
Expected return for stock market
Expected return=
= (0.15 25%) + (0.35 20%)+ (0.25 5%) + (0.25 -14%)
= 8.5%
Expected return for gold
Expected return=
= (0.15 -30%) + (0.35 -9%)+ (0.25 5%) + (0.25 50%)
= 13.6%
Decision
Since the expected return for gold is higher than for the stock market, it is better to invest in gold.
****You base your answer on the amount of expected return. What if you calculated the risk involved with each? Would you choose the same? Calculate the risk for each and show your work.******