Use Bayes' rule to find the indicated probability. The incidence of a certain disease on the island of Tukow is 4%. A new test has been developed to diagnose the disease. Using this test, 91% of those

Use Bayes' rule to find the indicated probability. The incidence of a certain disease on the island of Tukow is 4%. A new test has been developed to diagnose the disease. Using this test, 91% of those who have the disease test positive while 4% of those who do not have the disease test positive (false positive). If a person tests positive, what is the probability that he or she actually has the disease?