Vasser suggests that the 2054 scenario suggested in his first essay is virtually certain, that the 2054 scenario suggested in his second essay is

Vasser suggests that the 2054 scenario suggested in his first essay is virtually certain, that the 2054 scenario suggested in his second essay is pretty likely, and that the 2054 scenario suggested in his third essay is certainly possible. Do you agree with Vasser? Why or why not?