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Write 3 page essay on the topic GRBH.eserve Bank of Atlanta finds that when the central banks surprised markets with tighter policy between 1990 and 2008, Gold and Platinum prices rose the most. When
Write 3 page essay on the topic GRBH.
eserve Bank of Atlanta finds that when the central banks surprised markets with tighter policy between 1990 and 2008, Gold and Platinum prices rose the most. When the Fed surprised with growth stimulating rate cuts, prices for crude and heating oil were the biggest beneficiaries.
The New research from the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta also notes that some of the differences in reaction may relate to the nature of commodities. For example, a surprise lowering in rates makes it easier for speculators to get into commodities contracts, while making cheaper to hold inventories of a given commodity. Also the direction of the unexpected change in monetary policy signals something about the economic outlook, which has different influences for different stripes of commodities.
The fund rate is expected to stay at rock bottom levels until 2015, if Feds forecasts prove accurate. What’s more, much of the stimulative power of current fed policy is now driven by the central bank’s $85 Billion a month program of bond buying, which targets longer term rates.
The influence of monetary policy on commodity prices continues to be a big issue for policy makers as well as political leaders. In recent years Fed stimulus has been tied to big swings in energy and food prices. Which have had complicated impacts on their nations, as well as on American economic performance. For instance prices for copper, platinum, nickel, zinc, oil hit an all time high in 2006.
According to Morgan Stanley here is how some of the major commodities will fair in the next few years. Gold tends to move inversely to the USD but there are periods in which that relationship breaks down, the recent strengthening in the USD trade weighted index has not been accompanied by a downside breakout in gold meaning we may be heading for disengagement.
Natural gas will be pressured by supply build up, MS is bearish on short term natural gas prices owing to large buildups, but the market should tighten as this
