Write a 6 pages paper on five roads to the future by paul starobin. Due to this aggressive policy America has lost its former creditability and huge economic potential. What is the future of this coun

Write a 6 pages paper on five roads to the future by paul starobin. Due to this aggressive policy America has lost its former creditability and huge economic potential. What is the future of this country? Paul Starobin names five key possible scenarios:

3. Chinese century. In this case, China with its huge economic potential and human resources, which have been developing, while the USA were spending their money and human lives in the mountains of Afghanistan, will become the new superpower. Starobin thinks that China will rather take care of preserving economical potential than of protecting “the ideals of democracy”. The writer also considers the opportunity of Islamic Century noting that this variant would be much worse for the world.

5. The Universal Global Government. This scenario provides the authorities of the United Nations with possible transfer of a part of its global functions to such regional bodies as Eurozone, CAFTA, and NAFTA. This global government will act on behalf of the oligarchic layers providing minimal essential living resources for masses.

“Five Roads to the Future” consists of three parts: the 1st part deals with the story of development of the USA power and world influence. the 2nd part represents the author’s investigation of the reasons of American contemporary crisis. the 3rd part offers the author’s prognosis on what may happen further and this is where the 5 key scenarios are actually depicted.

Chapter 5 is devoted to describing military problems (excessive militarism) and huge external debts of the USA. Combination of these factors together with American exceptionalism result in US’s losing their allies on the far frontiers that lead to loss of respect and authority in the world. On page 101 the author notes that the world does not share the US point of view of Islamic fundamentalism as a threat to peace. On page 104 Starobin points at the contradiction between the US contemporary role of the global policeman with its traditional seek for isolation.